QuarterlyIQ Insights · PHM
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $117.71. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $159.09 | 18.7 | 8.50 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $186.41 | 18.0 | 10.34 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $179.08 | 2.1 | 87.04 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $187.71 | 18.2 | 10.34 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $90.78 | 8.8 | 10.34 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $190.11 | 18.0 | 10.54 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $210.34 | 18.7 | 11.24 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 58 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $216.00 | 18.0 | 11.98 | Analyst | 58 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $185.69 | 2.1 | 90.25 | Analyst | 58 |
| PEG | 3Y | $217.51 | 18.2 | 11.98 | Analyst | 58 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $105.19 | 8.8 | 11.98 | Analyst | 58 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $253.39 | 18.7 | 13.54 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $238.30 | 18.0 | 13.22 | Analyst | 52 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $190.22 | 2.1 | 92.45 | Analyst | 52 |
| PEG | 5Y | $239.96 | 18.2 | 13.22 | Analyst | 52 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $116.04 | 8.8 | 13.22 | Analyst | 52 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.