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QuarterlyIQ Insights · PSX

Factors

The full factor breakdown (the numbers behind each rank). The overview page shows the same reads in short form; this is the depth.

Factor signals

Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a plain-language read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.

Recent financial performance
weak

Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Energy names rated weak grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=979).

24th pctl · Energy
The numbers
bonus
0
dir share
0.6553
slope norm
-0.4455
Earnings quality
fragile

Over the trailing year it converted 0.61x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Energy names rated fragile grew net income 38% of the time over the next year (vs 44% for the rest of the cohort, n=602).

4th pctl · Energy
The numbers
ttm ni
4123
ttm cfo
2511
Macro sensitivity

Most sensitive to the broad stock market.

  • the broad stock market: This stock moves with the broad market (high beta).β 0.82 · R² 0.18

Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates (low R² over the window).

Management & capital allocation
volatile

7 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Energy names rated volatile grew net income 45% of the time over the next year (vs 48% for the rest of the cohort, n=252).

27th pctl · Energy
The numbers
n events
7
raw activity
1.199
directional rank
0.11
directional status
capital_unfriendly

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.

Earnings setup & market context

The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.

Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bullish strongEPS revised +10.8% / 30d, n=16for period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $5.88 → $6.51 (+10.8% / 30d). 12 raised, 2 cut, 16 covering analysts.

Rating actions

1 upgrade, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 57% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 17.7% above current price.

Sector context
Intermediate · Weekly
Sector phase: energy is in mature, with may be transitioning (~0.5 years in phase).
Sector regime (90d momentum): headwind.
headwind-9.3%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLE

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

Full energy context →All sectors →

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifierLong-term · 1–3 yr
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +1.33 · M +0.20
Single-axisneutralz -0.10

Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.