QuarterlyIQ Insights · ROK
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $460.09. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $316.61 | 26.0 | 12.18 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $325.52 | 27.4 | 11.89 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $315.83 | 26.0 | 12.15 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $267.64 | 3.7 | 73.06 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $491.40 | 40.4 | 12.15 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $365.35 | 30.1 | 12.15 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $340.50 | 26.0 | 13.10 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $475.66 | 26.0 | 18.30 | Mgmt(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $493.68 | 27.4 | 18.03 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $474.49 | 26.0 | 18.25 | Analyst | 59 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $367.24 | 3.7 | 100.24 | Analyst | 59 |
| PEG | 3Y | $738.25 | 40.4 | 18.25 | Analyst | 59 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $548.89 | 30.1 | 18.25 | Analyst | 59 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $623.95 | 26.0 | 24.00 | Mgmt(prov.) | 68 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $651.66 | 27.4 | 23.81 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 68 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $622.41 | 26.0 | 23.94 | Analyst | 68 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $453.47 | 3.7 | 123.78 | Analyst | 68 |
| PEG | 5Y | $968.39 | 40.4 | 23.94 | Analyst | 68 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $719.99 | 30.1 | 23.94 | Analyst | 68 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.