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QuarterlyIQ Insights · SHW

Factors

The full factor breakdown (the numbers behind each rank). The overview page shows the same reads in short form; this is the depth.

Factor signals

Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a plain-language read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.

Recent financial performance
neutral

Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated neutral grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1462).

49th pctl · Materials
The numbers
bonus
0
dir share
1
slope norm
-0.1592
Earnings quality
neutral

Over the trailing year it converted 1.40x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Materials names rated neutral grew net income 52% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=1297).

38th pctl · Materials
The numbers
ttm ni
2599.3
ttm cfo
3651.8
Macro sensitivity

Most sensitive to the broad stock market and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.

  • the broad stock market: This stock moves with the broad market (high beta).β 0.72 · R² 0.26
  • real (inflation-adjusted) rates: This stock behaves like a long-duration asset — tends to fall when real rates rise.β -0.11 · R² 0.08
  • long-term interest rates: This stock tends to fall when long-term rates rise.β -0.11 · R² 0.10

Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).

Management & capital allocation
neutral

4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Materials names rated neutral grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=272).

48th pctl · Materials
The numbers
n events
4
raw activity
0.7777
directional rank
0.2966
directional status
capital_unfriendly

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.

Earnings setup & market context

The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.

Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bearish19 analysts, 56% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $3.50 → $3.52 (+0.5% / 30d). 2 raised, 16 cut, 19 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 1 maintained. 56% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 18.6% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.

Sector context
Intermediate · Weekly
Sector phase: materials is in declining, with may be transitioning (~1.0 years in phase).
Sector regime (90d momentum): headwind.
headwind-10.3%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLB

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

Full materials context →All sectors →

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifierLong-term · 1–3 yr
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
CrisisE -1.92 · M -0.06
Single-axisneutralz -0.08

Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.