QuarterlyIQ Insights · SJM
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $112.32. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $153.58 | 17.1 | 9.00 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $171.23 | 18.9 | 9.08 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $148.29 | 17.1 | 8.69 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $142.39 | 1.7 | 85.30 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $135.88 | 15.6 | 8.69 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $155.94 | 17.1 | 9.14 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $125.26 | 17.1 | 7.34 | Mgmt(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $260.24 | 18.9 | 13.80 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $120.95 | 17.1 | 7.09 | Analyst | 46 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $144.20 | 1.7 | 86.38 | Analyst | 46 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $110.83 | 15.6 | 7.09 | Analyst | 46 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $109.35 | 17.1 | 6.41 | Mgmt(prov.) | 42 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $344.02 | 18.9 | 18.24 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 42 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $105.59 | 17.1 | 6.19 | Analyst | 42 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $145.42 | 1.7 | 87.11 | Analyst | 42 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $96.75 | 15.6 | 6.19 | Analyst | 42 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.