QuarterlyIQ Insights · SMCI
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $40.64. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $50.68 | 25.6 | 2.40 | TTM | 44 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $72.91 | 31.8 | 2.29 | TTM | 44 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $415.56 | 8.7 | 47.97 | TTM | 26 |
| PEG | 12M | $175.92 | 76.8 | 2.29 | TTM | 44 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $221.37 | 96.7 | 2.29 | TTM | 44 |
| triangulated | 12M | $77.43 | 31.8 | 2.43 | Triangulated | 44 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $195.23 | 31.8 | 6.13 | Analyst | 40 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $376.46 | 31.8 | 11.82 | Analyst | 40 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.