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QuarterlyIQ Insights · TGT

Factors

The full factor breakdown (the numbers behind each rank). The overview page shows the same reads in short form; this is the depth.

Factor signals

Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a plain-language read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.

Recent financial performance
neutral

Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated neutral grew net income 52% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=1526).

63th pctl · Consumer Staples
The numbers
bonus
0
dir share
1
slope norm
-0.0095
Earnings quality
robust

Over the trailing year it converted 2.03x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated robust grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=1037).

75th pctl · Consumer Staples
The numbers
ttm ni
3450
ttm cfo
7003
Macro sensitivity

Most sensitive to the broad stock market.

  • the broad stock market: This stock moves with the broad market (high beta).β 0.83 · R² 0.20

Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).

Management & capital allocation
volatile

13 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated volatile grew net income 42% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=368).

15th pctl · Consumer Staples
The numbers
n events
13
raw activity
1.751
directional rank
0.4091
directional status
neutral

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.

Earnings setup & market context

The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.

Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
neutral18 PT revisions / 30d, avg 9.1% above currentfor period ending 2026-07-31
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $2.25 → $2.24 (-0.0% / 30d). 12 raised, 16 cut, 31 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 12 maintained. 29% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

18 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 9.1% above current price.

Material events

1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.

Sector context
Intermediate · Weekly
Sector phase: consumer staples is in maturing, with decelerating (~1.2 years in phase).
Sector regime (90d momentum): headwind.
headwind-12.1%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLP

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

Full consumer staples context →All sectors →

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifierLong-term · 1–3 yr
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
SteadyE +0.08 · M -0.04
Single-axisCHASEz +4.22

Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.