QuarterlyIQ Insights · TGT
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $126.58. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $136.51 | 17.1 | 8.00 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $211.74 | 14.7 | 16.13 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $129.38 | 18.9 | 6.86 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $136.17 | 17.1 | 7.98 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $408.97 | 1.7 | 244.98 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $170.11 | 21.3 | 7.98 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $127.07 | 15.9 | 7.98 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $142.80 | 17.1 | 8.37 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $166.50 | 17.1 | 9.76 | Mgmt(prov.) | 26 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $815.39 | 18.9 | 43.22 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 26 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $166.09 | 17.1 | 9.73 | Analyst | 26 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $411.12 | 1.7 | 246.27 | Analyst | 26 |
| PEG | 3Y | $207.48 | 21.3 | 9.73 | Analyst | 26 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $154.99 | 15.9 | 9.73 | Analyst | 26 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $190.07 | 17.1 | 11.14 | Mgmt(prov.) | 64 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $189.60 | 17.1 | 11.11 | Analyst | 64 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $412.56 | 1.7 | 247.13 | Analyst | 64 |
| PEG | 5Y | $236.85 | 21.3 | 11.11 | Analyst | 64 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $176.93 | 15.9 | 11.11 | Analyst | 64 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.