QuarterlyIQ Insights · TJX
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $164.81. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $89.69 | 18.0 | 4.97 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $95.95 | 13.6 | 7.01 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $90.55 | 18.7 | 4.84 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $92.85 | 18.0 | 5.15 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $111.83 | 2.1 | 54.35 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $120.35 | 23.4 | 5.15 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $149.64 | 29.1 | 5.15 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $97.51 | 18.0 | 5.41 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $108.28 | 18.0 | 6.01 | Mgmt(prov.) | 58 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $125.26 | 18.7 | 6.69 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 58 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $112.09 | 18.0 | 6.22 | Analyst | 58 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $133.78 | 2.1 | 65.02 | Analyst | 58 |
| PEG | 3Y | $145.30 | 23.4 | 6.22 | Analyst | 58 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $180.66 | 29.1 | 6.22 | Analyst | 58 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $122.77 | 18.0 | 6.81 | Mgmt(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $155.51 | 18.7 | 8.31 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $127.09 | 18.0 | 7.05 | Analyst | 52 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $150.76 | 2.1 | 73.27 | Analyst | 52 |
| PEG | 5Y | $164.74 | 23.4 | 7.05 | Analyst | 52 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $204.83 | 29.1 | 7.05 | Analyst | 52 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.