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QuarterlyIQ Insights · TPR

Factors

The full factor breakdown (the numbers behind each rank). The overview page shows the same reads in short form; this is the depth.

Factor signals

Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a plain-language read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.

Recent financial performance
weak

Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).

22th pctl · Consumer Discretionary
The numbers
bonus
0
dir share
0.4323
slope norm
0.6657
Earnings quality
robust

Over the trailing year it converted 2.87x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated robust grew net income 65% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=2427).

81th pctl · Consumer Discretionary
The numbers
ttm ni
662.8
ttm cfo
1903.1
Macro sensitivity

Most sensitive to the broad stock market.

  • the broad stock market: This stock moves with the broad market (high beta).β 1.31 · R² 0.30

Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates (low R² over the window).

Management & capital allocation
neutral

3 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=646).

50th pctl · Consumer Discretionary
The numbers
n events
3
raw activity
0.4647
directional rank
0.2956
directional status
capital_unfriendly

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.

Earnings setup & market context

The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.

Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bullish strongEPS revised +8.2% / 30d, n=16for period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.16 → $1.25 (+8.2% / 30d). 16 raised, 0 cut, 16 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 71% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 29.2% above current price.

Sector context
Intermediate · Weekly
Sector phase: consumer discretionary is in maturing, with decelerating (~0.5 years in phase).
Sector regime (90d momentum): headwind.
headwind-7.6%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLY

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

Full consumer discretionary context →All sectors →

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifierLong-term · 1–3 yr
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
SteadyE -0.09 · M +0.18
Single-axisFEARz -2.20

Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.