QuarterlyIQ Insights · TSCO
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $29.96. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $37.68 | 18.0 | 2.09 | Mgmt | 7 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $37.50 | 13.6 | 3.09 | TTM | 7 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $20.72 | 18.7 | 1.11 | TTM | 7 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $36.78 | 18.0 | 2.04 | TTM | 7 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $57.39 | 2.1 | 27.89 | TTM | 7 |
| PEG | 12M | $60.73 | 29.8 | 2.04 | TTM | 7 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $213.78 | 104.8 | 2.04 | TTM | 7 |
| triangulated | 12M | $37.69 | 18.0 | 2.09 | Triangulated | 7 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $47.80 | 18.0 | 2.65 | Mgmt(prov.) | 9 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $24.31 | 18.7 | 1.30 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 9 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $46.66 | 18.0 | 2.59 | Analyst | 9 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $76.63 | 2.1 | 37.24 | Analyst | 9 |
| PEG | 3Y | $77.05 | 29.8 | 2.59 | Analyst | 9 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $271.22 | 104.8 | 2.59 | Analyst | 9 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $56.02 | 18.0 | 3.11 | Mgmt(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $27.03 | 18.7 | 1.44 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $54.68 | 18.0 | 3.03 | Analyst | 52 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $92.92 | 2.1 | 45.16 | Analyst | 52 |
| PEG | 5Y | $90.29 | 29.8 | 3.03 | Analyst | 52 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.