QuarterlyIQ Insights · TSLA
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $396.68. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer P/S | 12M | $54.11 | 2.1 | 26.30 | TTM | 39 |
| PEG | 12M | $150.92 | 83.4 | 1.81 | TTM | 39 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $303.59 | 167.7 | 1.81 | TTM | 39 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $45.07 | 18.7 | 2.41 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 5 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $60.90 | 18.0 | 3.38 | Analyst | 5 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $86.53 | 2.1 | 42.06 | Analyst | 5 |
| PEG | 3Y | $281.67 | 83.4 | 3.38 | Analyst | 5 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $566.59 | 167.7 | 3.38 | Analyst | 5 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $51.22 | 18.7 | 2.74 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 1 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $92.32 | 18.0 | 5.12 | Analyst | 1 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $118.33 | 2.1 | 57.51 | Analyst | 1 |
| PEG | 5Y | $426.97 | 83.4 | 5.12 | Analyst | 1 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $858.86 | 167.7 | 5.12 | Analyst | 1 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.