QuarterlyIQ Insights · UAL
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $109.63. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $259.95 | 26.0 | 10.00 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $355.84 | 18.0 | 22.58 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $263.63 | 27.4 | 9.63 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $284.38 | 26.0 | 10.94 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $637.13 | 3.7 | 173.91 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $556.30 | 50.8 | 10.94 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $94.79 | 8.7 | 10.94 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $285.06 | 26.0 | 10.97 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $430.03 | 26.0 | 16.54 | Mgmt(prov.) | 53 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $574.35 | 27.4 | 20.98 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 53 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $470.46 | 26.0 | 18.10 | Analyst | 53 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $908.53 | 3.7 | 247.99 | Analyst | 53 |
| PEG | 3Y | $920.29 | 50.8 | 18.10 | Analyst | 53 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $156.81 | 8.7 | 18.10 | Analyst | 53 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $601.52 | 26.0 | 23.14 | Mgmt(prov.) | 57 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $965.25 | 27.4 | 35.26 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 57 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $658.06 | 26.0 | 25.32 | Analyst | 57 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $219.34 | 8.7 | 25.32 | Analyst | 57 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.