QuarterlyIQ Insights · UDR
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $38.61. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $15.89 | 16.6 | 0.96 | Mgmt | 27 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $29.75 | 21.1 | 1.41 | TTM | 27 |
| Peer P/FFO | 12M | $48.65 | 16.6 | 2.94 | TTM | 27 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $40.76 | 8.0 | 5.10 | TTM | 27 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $115.72 | 86.4 | 1.34 | TTM | 27 |
| triangulated | 12M | $22.76 | 16.6 | 1.38 | Triangulated | 27 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $24.04 | 21.1 | 1.14 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/FFO | 3Y | $61.54 | 16.6 | 3.72 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $53.47 | 8.0 | 6.69 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $20.86 | 21.1 | 0.99 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 57 |
| Peer P/FFO | 5Y | $71.98 | 16.6 | 4.35 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 57 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $64.08 | 8.0 | 8.02 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 57 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.