QuarterlyIQ Insights · UNP
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $268.67. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $262.76 | 27.4 | 9.60 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $314.01 | 26.0 | 12.08 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $150.90 | 3.7 | 41.19 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $282.41 | 23.4 | 12.08 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $264.52 | 21.9 | 12.08 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $317.15 | 26.0 | 12.20 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $276.14 | 27.4 | 10.09 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $399.98 | 26.0 | 15.39 | Analyst | 59 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $184.08 | 3.7 | 50.25 | Analyst | 59 |
| PEG | 3Y | $359.72 | 23.4 | 15.39 | Analyst | 59 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $336.93 | 21.9 | 15.39 | Analyst | 59 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $285.43 | 27.4 | 10.43 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 68 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $469.99 | 26.0 | 18.08 | Analyst | 68 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $210.16 | 3.7 | 57.37 | Analyst | 68 |
| PEG | 5Y | $422.69 | 23.4 | 18.08 | Analyst | 68 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $395.91 | 21.9 | 18.08 | Analyst | 68 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.