QuarterlyIQ Insights · UPS
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $107.87. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $198.93 | 18.0 | 12.29 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $145.43 | 27.4 | 5.31 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $175.20 | 26.0 | 6.74 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $398.80 | 3.7 | 108.86 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $218.00 | 32.3 | 6.74 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $106.69 | 15.8 | 6.74 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $182.18 | 26.0 | 7.01 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $91.84 | 27.4 | 3.36 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 53 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $243.66 | 26.0 | 9.37 | Analyst | 53 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $407.88 | 3.7 | 111.33 | Analyst | 53 |
| PEG | 3Y | $303.17 | 32.3 | 9.37 | Analyst | 53 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $148.37 | 15.8 | 9.37 | Analyst | 53 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $67.61 | 27.4 | 2.47 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 53 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $303.57 | 26.0 | 11.68 | Analyst | 53 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $414.05 | 3.7 | 113.02 | Analyst | 53 |
| PEG | 5Y | $377.72 | 32.3 | 11.68 | Analyst | 53 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $184.85 | 15.8 | 11.68 | Analyst | 53 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.