QuarterlyIQ Insights · VLO
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $253.72. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $68.51 | 9.1 | 9.70 | TTM | 28 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $343.22 | 18.8 | 18.22 | TTM | 28 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $253.22 | 18.1 | 13.98 | TTM | 28 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $767.12 | 1.8 | 415.33 | TTM | 28 |
| PEG | 12M | $124.27 | 8.9 | 13.98 | TTM | 28 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $216.71 | 15.5 | 13.98 | TTM | 28 |
| triangulated | 12M | $282.27 | 18.1 | 15.58 | Triangulated | 28 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $137.07 | 18.8 | 7.28 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 49 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $559.23 | 18.1 | 30.87 | Analyst | 49 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $800.25 | 1.8 | 433.26 | Analyst | 49 |
| PEG | 3Y | $274.45 | 8.9 | 30.87 | Analyst | 49 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $478.59 | 15.5 | 30.87 | Analyst | 49 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $74.33 | 18.8 | 3.95 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 49 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $948.38 | 18.1 | 52.36 | Analyst | 49 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $823.13 | 1.8 | 445.65 | Analyst | 49 |
| PEG | 5Y | $465.44 | 8.9 | 52.36 | Analyst | 49 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $811.62 | 15.5 | 52.36 | Analyst | 49 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.