QuarterlyIQ Insights · XEL
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $77.62. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $82.97 | 20.2 | 4.10 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $69.11 | 12.8 | 9.64 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $70.83 | 20.2 | 3.50 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $69.82 | 3.0 | 23.34 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $191.47 | 54.7 | 3.50 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $76.40 | 21.8 | 3.50 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $71.06 | 20.2 | 3.51 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $136.30 | 20.2 | 6.74 | Mgmt(prov.) | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $116.35 | 20.2 | 5.75 | Analyst | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $96.66 | 3.0 | 32.31 | Analyst | 50 |
| PEG | 3Y | $314.54 | 54.7 | 5.75 | Analyst | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $125.50 | 21.8 | 5.75 | Analyst | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $189.76 | 20.2 | 9.38 | Mgmt(prov.) | 48 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $161.99 | 20.2 | 8.00 | Analyst | 48 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $120.06 | 3.0 | 40.13 | Analyst | 48 |
| PEG | 5Y | $437.91 | 54.7 | 8.00 | Analyst | 48 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $174.73 | 21.8 | 8.00 | Analyst | 48 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.