ADI
Analog DevicesNASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, ADI has a composite score of 13.6 and a signal label of "mild favorable." The valuation label changed from "expensive" to "full," indicating a shift in perceived value. Key drivers of the current scoring include macroeconomic factors such as rates, growth, inflation, and labor conditions. Confidence in the analysis is high at 82.9%.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.13
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Why this rank
Joint read: strong + robust historically delivered 80%+ NI-grew rate over T+1y in IT 2024–26 (small N).
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $2.97 → $2.99 (+0.6% / 30d). 2 raised, 0 cut, 26 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 83% of analysts rate Buy.
Market and fundamentals agree — analysts are positioned bullishly on a fundamentally strong name.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
11 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase quarterly dividendcapital allocationmixed65% progress
2/18: “Raised quarterly dividend 11% to $1.10, marking twenty-two consecutive years of increases.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The quarterly dividend increased from $0.99 in 2025-Q4 to $1.10 in 2026-Q1, marking a consistent upward trajectory in dividend payments. This reflects a persistent focus on returning value to shareholders through increased dividends.
- 2.Forecast revenue growthgrowthmixed65% progress
2/18: “Revenue of $3.16 billion, with year-over-year growth across all end markets, led by Industrial and Communications.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue grew from $3.08 billion in 2025-Q4 to $3.16 billion in 2026-Q1, indicating a positive growth trajectory. This aligns with management's emphasis on growth, particularly in the Industrial and Communications segments.
- 3.Maintain operating margincostmixed65% progress
2/18: “Operating margin of 31.5%, up from 20.3% in the prior year.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Operating margin increased from 30.7% in 2025-Q4 to 31.5% in 2026-Q1, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiency. This supports management's focus on maintaining strong margins.
Guidance track record
Last 4 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-31 | $0.85 – $1.05 | $1.44 | beat |
| 2021-07-31 | $1.12 – $1.34 | $1.72 | beat |
| 2022-04-30 | $1.04 – $1.24 | $2.40 | beat |
| 2026-01-31 | $1.50 – $1.70 | $1.69 | inside |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 37%; 252d 30%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −16%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLK) — 0.05 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 50/100, drawdown 69/100, beta 5/100, earnings vol —.
Calm + bullish setup — clean pre-earnings positioning pattern.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- label change · valuation_labelseverity 20
Valuation label changed from 'expensive' to 'full'.
As of May 8, 2026, the valuation label for ADI changed from "expensive" to "full." The forward view includes several unfavorable scenarios, such as a potential guidance cut and a reversal in rates, both of which could negatively impact estimates. Conversely, there are favorable scenarios related to an improvement in the information technology sector trend and a potential raise in next-quarter guidance. The overall confidence remains high at 82.9.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 4 guided quarters · 51.9% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase quarterly dividend
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Continue to increase the quarterly dividend, marking twenty-two consecutive years of increases.
On track →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The quarterly dividend increased from $0.99 in 2025-Q4 to $1.10 in 2026-Q1, marking a consistent upward trajectory in dividend payments. This reflects a persistent focus on returning value to shareholders through increased dividends.
Quarterly dividend increased from $0.99 to $1.1065%CEO/CFO:“Raised quarterly dividend 11% to $1.10, marking twenty-two consecutive years of increases.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-18Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“Raised quarterly dividend 11% to $1.10, marking twenty-two consecutive years of increases.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Raised quarterly dividend 8% to $0.99, marking twenty-one consecutive years of increases.”
- #2
Forecast revenue growth
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Maintain a positive revenue growth trajectory, driven by strength in Industrial and Communications segments.
On track →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue grew from $3.08 billion in 2025-Q4 to $3.16 billion in 2026-Q1, indicating a positive growth trajectory. This aligns with management's emphasis on growth, particularly in the Industrial and Communications segments.
Revenue grew from $3.08 billion in 2025-Q4 to $3.16 billion in 2026-Q165%CEO/CFO:“Revenue of $3.16 billion, with year-over-year growth across all end markets, led by Industrial and Communications.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-18Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“Revenue of $3.16 billion, with year-over-year growth across all end markets, led by Industrial and Communications.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Fourth quarter revenue of $3.08 billion, with year-over-year growth across all end markets, led by Communications and Industrial.”
- #3
Maintain operating margin
CostNew since 2026-05-04Focus on maintaining strong operating margins through disciplined cost management and operational efficiency.
On track →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Operating margin increased from 30.7% in 2025-Q4 to 31.5% in 2026-Q1, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiency. This supports management's focus on maintaining strong margins.
65%CEO/CFO:“Operating margin of 31.5%, up from 20.3% in the prior year.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-18Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“Operating margin of 31.5%, up from 20.3% in the prior year.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Operating margin 30.7%, up from 23.3% in the prior year.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ADI Analog Devices | +14 | full | moderate |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +20 | full | moderate |
AAPL Apple Inc | +19 | full | moderate |
MSFT Microsoft | +27 | fair | elevated |
AVGO Broadcom | +11 | expensive | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-02-18)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-02-18)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-03-121mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As described in
executive changeneutralscore 15 - 2026-02-182mo agoItem 2.02
and in the accompanying Exhibit 99.1 shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Registrant, whether made before or after the date hereof, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing, unless expressly incorporated by specific reference to such filing. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabili…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 11 - 2026-02-182mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events On February 17, 2026, the Registrant announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.10 per outstanding share of common stock, an increase from the previously paid quarterly dividend of $0.99 per outstanding share of common stock. The dividend will be paid on March 17, 2026 to all shareholders of record at the close of business on March 3, 2026. A copy of the Registrant's press release is attached as Exhibit 99.2 to this Current Report on Form 8-K a…
capital allocationneutralscore 8 - 2026-01-233mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Susie Wee Retirement On January 20, 2026, Susie Wee informed the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Analog Devices, Inc. (the “Company”) that she had decided to retire from the Board and not to stand for re-election at the Company’s 2026 annual meeting of shareholders (the “2026 Annual Meeting”) to be held on March 11, 2026. Dr. Wee’s decision not…
executive changeneutralscore 5 - 2025-11-255mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On November 25, 2025, Analog Devices, Inc. (the “Registrant”) announced its financial results for its fourth quarter and fiscal year ended November 1, 2025. The full text of the press release issued by the Registrant concerning the foregoing results is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1. The information contained herein and in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Registrant, whether made before or after the da…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 1
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.