Here are the main forces moving the economy: how fast it's growing, how prices are changing, jobs, interest rates, and the bond market. Each card shows the latest number, how it's changed over time, and why you should care.
This table summarizes the main macro indicators we track in one place: latest values, short-term trend, risk assessment, and a compact history chart for each metric. Use it to quickly gauge whether growth, inflation, policy, labor markets, and the yield curve are getting better, worse, or moving sideways.
Click a metric's Learn more link to open its full dashboard. Subscribers can see much richer history, scenario analysis, and model outputs on those detail pages.
At a glance: growth roughly stable, labor roughly balanced, inflation sticky, policy supportive, yield curve flat.
| Metric | Value Trend Chart Risk & Updated Next Update | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP QoQ SAAR | Value 2.10 % Trend Moderating Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Jun 25, 2026 Next Update Jul 30, 2026 | |||
| PCE Inflation Core PCE (YoY) | Value 3.40 % Trend Reaccelerating Chart Loading… Risk Risk: HIGH Updated Jun 25, 2026 Next Update Jul 30, 2026 | |||
| CPI Inflation Headline CPI (YoY) | Value 4.25 % Trend Overheating Chart Loading… Risk Risk: MODERATE Updated Jun 10, 2026 Next Update Jul 14, 2026 | |||
| Labor market Unemployment rate | Value 4.20 % Trend Stable Chart Loading… Risk Risk: MODERATE Updated Jul 2, 2026 Next Update Aug 7, 2026 | |||
| Jobless claims Initial claims, 4-wk avg | Value 222000 k Trend Healthy Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Jul 2, 2026 Next Update Jul 9, 2026 | |||
| Fed funds rate Effective rate | Value 3.63 % Trend Supportive Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Jun 17, 2026 Next Update Jul 29, 2026 | |||
| Yield curve 10Y-2Y spread | Value 35 bps Trend Flat Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Last Value Date Jul 6, 2026 Next Update Daily | |||
