Here are the main forces moving the economy: how fast it's growing, how prices are changing, jobs, interest rates, and the bond market. Each card shows the latest number, how it's changed over time, and why you should care.
This table summarizes the main macro indicators we track in one place: latest values, short-term trend, risk assessment, and a compact history chart for each metric. Use it to quickly gauge whether growth, inflation, policy, labor markets, and the yield curve are getting better, worse, or moving sideways.
Click a metric's Learn more link to open its full dashboard. Subscribers can see much richer history, scenario analysis, and model outputs on those detail pages.
At a glance: growth expanding, labor roughly balanced, inflation sticky, policy neutral, yield curve flat.
| Metric | Value Trend Chart Risk & Updated Next Update | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP QoQ SAAR | Value 3.40 % Trend Healthy Expansion Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Oct 29, 2026 Next Update Nov 25, 2026 | |||
| PCE Inflation Core PCE (YoY) | Value 3.10 % Trend Sticky Chart Loading… Risk Risk: HIGH Updated Oct 29, 2026 Next Update Nov 25, 2026 | |||
| CPI Inflation Headline CPI (YoY) | Value 3.74 % Trend Overheating Chart Loading… Risk Risk: HIGH Updated Oct 14, 2026 Next Update Nov 10, 2026 | |||
| Labor market Unemployment rate | Value 4.20 % Trend Stable Chart Loading… Risk Risk: MODERATE Updated Oct 2, 2026 Next Update Nov 6, 2026 | |||
| Jobless claims Initial claims, 4-wk avg | Value 194750 k Trend Healthy Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Nov 5, 2026 Next Update Nov 12, 2026 | |||
| Fed funds rate Effective rate | Value 3.88 % Trend Neutral Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Oct 28, 2026 Next Update Dec 9, 2026 | |||
| Yield curve 10Y-2Y spread | Value 34 bps Trend Flat Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Last Value Date Nov 3, 2026 Next Update Daily | |||