Reading AEI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AEI free→Reading AEI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AEI free→NASDAQReal EstateReal Estate - DevelopmentSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and the capital stance is capital-friendly. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with AEI trading below typical compared to sector peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 17% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1.48. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $1.48 AEI trades at 5× p/s, below its 6× p/s peer median. Our $1.79 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 17% below a flat-multiple fair value, in line with our forecast of about -8%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Real Estate names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=1506).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.08x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
10 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Real Estate names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=5004).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLRE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$313.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,052.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,885.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Row flagged provisional (some sub-scores became unavailable).
Valuation changed. It rose from "inexpensive" to "fair." The stock is now considered fairly valued. The status is provisional because some sub-scores are unavailable.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for AEI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Termination Agreement Relating to Purchase of Shares of Hapi Metaverse Inc. On February 5, 2026, Alset Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a term sheet (the “Term Sheet”), with HWH International Inc., a Nevada company (“HWH”). The Company, directly and through subsidiaries, owns a majority of HWH’s common stock. Pursuant to the Term Sheet, the Company agreed sell to HWH 505,341,376 issued and outstanding shares of common stock, par value $0.0001 (the…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
AEI ALSET INC | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 4 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. The information included in
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Securities Purchase Agreement with DSS Inc. On March 26, 2026, Alset International Limited (“AIL”), a majority-owned subsidiary of Alset Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a securities purchase agreement (the “SPA”) with DSS, Inc., a New York company (“DSS”) pursuant to which AIL will loan DSS $2,450,000, in exchange for a convertible promissory note (the “Note”) and warrants to purchase 16,554,055 shares of DSS common stock (the “Warrants”). The Not…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Binding Term Sheet for Sale of Shares of Hapi Metaverse Inc. On February 5, 2026, Alset Inc. (“Alset”) entered into a term sheet (the “Term Sheet”), with HWH International Inc., a Nevada company (the “Buyer”), a majority owned subsidiary of Alset. Pursuant to the Term Sheet, Alset agreed to sell to the Buyer 505,341,376 issued and outstanding shares of common stock, par value $0.0001 (the “Shares”), of Hapi Metaverse Inc. (“Hapi Metaverse”), represe…
Regulation FD Disclosure Amendment to Share Repurchase Agreement On September 29, 2025, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Alset Inc. (the “Company”) approved an increase to the Company’s existing stock repurchase program. Under the Company’s existing stock repurchase agreement, the Company has bought back 284,462 shares of the Company’s common stock, for approximately $392,000, including certain fees. The amendment to the stock repurchase program authorizes the Company to repurchase up…