Amcor (AMCR)
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-11-04
$48.50+3.28%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put AMCR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Materials: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve EPS growth of 12-17% for fiscal 2026: Diluted EPS: $0.83 per share.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 57% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskAMCR's strong recent performance must keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue grew 77% year over year in the latest reported quarter. The stock trades at 12x earnings versus a 16x peer median. This discount reflects modest expectations relative to our view. The primary pillar is under pressure from weak EPS growth. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 21%. Peer multiples imply a price about 14% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. AMCR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 13 analysts currently covering AMCR (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for AMCR in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMCR Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put AMCR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Deliver $260 million synergy benefits in fiscal 2026
Synergy gains directly support growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $48.50
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $48.50.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Leadership change may impact operational execution and synergy delivery.
Advances: Deliver $260 million synergy benefits in fiscal 2026
Synergies discussed align with growth objectives.
Advances: Deliver $260 million synergy benefits in fiscal 2026
Synergy beat indicates progress towards synergy benefits.
Threatens: Achieve EPS growth of 12-17%
EPS range lower than expected, impacting growth objective.
Advances: Achieve EPS growth of 12-17%
Quarterly beat supports EPS growth objective.
Advances: Achieve EPS growth of 12-17%
Earnings beat indicates potential for EPS growth.
Threatens: Capex between $850-900 million
Flat shares indicate concerns over transition period.
