Amazon (AMZN)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put AMZN beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 15% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 26%, softest on free-cash-flow margins.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskAmazon's AWS and AI expansion must keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue grew 12% year over year in the latest quarter. The company missed its earnings estimate by 6% in Q3. It trades at 31 times earnings versus a 16 times peer median. The price reflects less growth than we forecast. The 31 times multiple is a premium to peers. The market cycle is currently in a Mania phase. Peer multiples imply a price about 18% below where it trades. Our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. AMZN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 61 analysts currently covering AMZN (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 25 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for AMZN in the last 4 months.
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Compare AMZN with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Broadline Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put AMZN next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Legal complaints over deforestation links pose regulatory and reputational risk.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $266.03
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $266.03.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Invest in AI and infrastructure capacity
Confirms demand for AI infrastructure capacity via data center deal.

FTC claim poses regulatory risk to advertising revenue practices.
Advances: Expand AWS and AI capabilities
Confirms AWS AI leadership, supporting core growth objective.

Advances: Expand AWS and AI capabilities
CEO confirms massive AWS growth targets, validating thesis.

Advances: Invest in AI and infrastructure capacity
Regulatory tailwind supports AI infrastructure expansion.

Political tailwind reduces regulatory risk for tech giants.

Advances: Expand ultra-fast delivery and same-day services
Partnership expands delivery network and Prime value proposition.
