AMZN
AmazonNASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryInternet RetailSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, AMZN has a composite score of 15.9 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by various factors, including a medium confidence level of 73.3 and a moderate risk label. The top drivers affecting the score include macroeconomic factors such as growth, rates, inflation, and labor. The analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.01
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.79 → $1.82 (+1.6% / 30d). 22 raised, 8 cut, 45 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 35 maintained. 93% of analysts rate Buy.
27 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 20.6% above current price.
2 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
4 material events in the last 24 months — top 4 listed below.
Stated priorities
4 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Expand AWS and AI capabilitiesproducton track100% progressprovisional
2/5: “CEO: 'AWS growing 24%...our chips business growing triple digit percentages year-over-year.'”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. AWS segment sales increased 24% year-over-year to $35.6 billion in 2025-Q4, showing strong growth and innovation in AI and cloud services. The trajectory is delivering on management's emphasis on expanding AWS and AI capabilities.
- 2.Increase revenue growthgrowthon track100% progressprovisional
2/5: “Net sales increased 14% to $213.4 billion in the fourth quarter, compared with $187.8 billion in fourth quarter 2024.”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Net sales increased 14% to $213.4 billion in 2025-Q4, showing consistent revenue growth across Amazon's segments. The trajectory aligns with management's focus on increasing revenue growth.
- 3.Strategic acquisition of Globalstarcapital allocationmixed44% progress
4/14: “Amazon announced they have entered into a definitive merger agreement for the Company to acquire Globalstar.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q2. Amazon announced the acquisition of Globalstar, marking a strategic move to enhance its capabilities. This is a new initiative, and its impact on financials will be observed in future quarters.
- 4.Significant capital investmentcapital allocationmixed44% progressprovisional
2/5: “CEO: 'We expect to invest about $200 billion in capital expenditures across Amazon in 2026.'”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Amazon plans to invest about $200 billion in capital expenditures across 2026, indicating a significant commitment to growth and infrastructure. The financial impact of this investment will be monitored in subsequent quarters.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 25%; 252d 30%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −22%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLY) — 0.08 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 49/100, drawdown 57/100, beta 8/100, earnings vol —.
Calm + bullish setup — clean pre-earnings positioning pattern.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Expand AWS and AI capabilities
ProductNew since 2026-05-04Amazon aims to enhance AWS and AI capabilities, focusing on innovation and customer solutions.
Watch →On trackStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. AWS segment sales increased 24% year-over-year to $35.6 billion in 2025-Q4, showing strong growth and innovation in AI and cloud services. The trajectory is delivering on management's emphasis on expanding AWS and AI capabilities.
AWS segment sales increased 24% year-over-year to $35.6 billion in 2025-Q4100%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'AWS growing 24%...our chips business growing triple digit percentages year-over-year.'”Earnings callSource dated 2026-02-05Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (4)
- 2025-Q4Earnings call
“AWS growing 24%...our chips business growing triple digit percentages year-over-year.”
- 2025-Q3Earnings call
“AWS is growing at a pace we haven’t seen since 2022, re-accelerating to 20.2% YoY.”
- 2025-Q2Earnings call
“AWS segment sales increased 17.5% year-over-year to $30.9 billion.”
- 2025-Q1Earnings call
“AWS segment sales increased 17% year-over-year to $29.3 billion.”
- #2
Increase revenue growth
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Amazon is focused on increasing revenue growth across its segments, including North America and International.
On trackStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Net sales increased 14% to $213.4 billion in 2025-Q4, showing consistent revenue growth across Amazon's segments. The trajectory aligns with management's focus on increasing revenue growth.
Net sales increased 14% to $213.4 billion in 2025-Q4100%CEO/CFO:“Net sales increased 14% to $213.4 billion in the fourth quarter, compared with $187.8 billion in fourth quarter 2024.”Earnings callSource dated 2026-02-05Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (4)
- 2025-Q4Earnings call
“Net sales increased 14% to $213.4 billion in the fourth quarter.”
- 2025-Q3Earnings call
“Net sales increased 13% to $180.2 billion in the third quarter.”
- 2025-Q2Earnings call
“Net sales increased 13% to $167.7 billion in the second quarter.”
- 2025-Q1Earnings call
“Net sales increased 9% to $155.7 billion in the first quarter.”
- #3
Strategic acquisition of Globalstar
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Amazon announced the acquisition of Globalstar to enhance its strategic capabilities.
MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q2. Amazon announced the acquisition of Globalstar, marking a strategic move to enhance its capabilities. This is a new initiative, and its impact on financials will be observed in future quarters.
44%CEO/CFO:“Amazon announced they have entered into a definitive merger agreement for the Company to acquire Globalstar.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-14Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q2Press release
“Amazon announced they have entered into a definitive merger agreement for the Company to acquire Globalstar.”
- #4
Significant capital investment
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Amazon plans to invest about $200 billion in capital expenditures across 2026.
MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q1. Amazon plans to invest about $200 billion in capital expenditures across 2026, indicating a significant commitment to growth and infrastructure. The financial impact of this investment will be monitored in subsequent quarters.
44%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'We expect to invest about $200 billion in capital expenditures across Amazon in 2026.'”Earnings callSource dated 2026-02-05Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (1)
- 2026-Q1Earnings call
“We expect to invest about $200 billion in capital expenditures across Amazon in 2026.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
AMZN Amazon | +16 | full | moderate |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | +0.4 | expensive | elevated |
HD Home Depot (The) | +14 | full | moderate |
CVNA Carvana | +14 | — | high |
MCD McDonald's | +19 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_discretionary sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-29)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-29)-8.0 pts
- If consumer_discretionary sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2910d agoItem 2.02
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On April 29, 2026, Amazon.com, Inc. announced its first quarter 2026 financial results. A copy of the press release containing the announcement is included as Exhibit 99.1 and additional information regarding the inclusion of non-GAAP financial measures in certain of Amazon.com, Inc.’s public disclosures, including its first quarter 2026 financial results announcement, is included as Exhibit 99.2. Both of these exhibits are incorporated herein by…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 58 - 2026-04-1424d agoItem 7.01
REGULATION FD DISCLOSURE. On April 14, 2026, Amazon.com, Inc. (the “Company”) and Globalstar, Inc., a Delaware corporation (“Globalstar”), issued a joint press release announcing they have entered into a definitive merger agreement for the Company to acquire Globalstar on the terms and subject to the conditions set forth in the merger agreement. The transaction is subject to the satisfaction of certain closing conditions, including receipt of required regulatory approvals. A copy of the press…
mna activitypositivescore 29 - 2026-02-272mo agoItem 1.01
ENTRY INTO A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT. On February 27, 2026, Amazon.com NV Investment Holdings LLC (“Amazon Sub”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Amazon.com, Inc. (the “Company”), entered into an equity commitment letter agreement (the “Letter Agreement”) with OpenAI Group PBC (“OpenAI”), pursuant to which Amazon Sub agreed to purchase shares of OpenAI’s Series C Preferred Stock (the “Commitment Shares”) with an aggregate purchase price of $35.0 billion (the “Commitment Amount”). In connec…
mna activitypositivescore 13 - 2026-02-272mo agoItem 8.01
OTHER EVENTS. In connection with the matters discussed in Item 1.01, affiliates of each of the Company and OpenAI entered into (i) a commercial arrangement primarily for the provision of Amazon Web Services (“AWS”) cloud services to OpenAI, and (ii) a joint collaboration agreement pursuant to which certain services using OpenAI models will be made available to the Company and on AWS.
mna activitypositivescore 10 - 2026-02-053mo agoItem 2.02
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On February 5, 2026, Amazon.com, Inc. announced its fourth quarter 2025 and year ended December 31, 2025 financial results. A copy of the press release containing the announcement is included as Exhibit 99.1 and additional information regarding the inclusion of non-GAAP financial measures in certain of Amazon.com, Inc.’s public disclosures, including its fourth quarter 2025 and year ended December 31, 2025 financial results announcement, is inclu…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 8
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.