APH
AmphenolNYSEInformation TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, APH has a composite score of 31.0 and a signal label of "favorable." The score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 79.0 and an elevated risk label. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as rates, growth, inflation, and labor, with guidance credibility at 50.0 and sector performance at 21.4. This analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.08
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.05 → $1.17 (+11.6% / 30d). 14 raised, 0 cut, 16 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 8 maintained. 79% of analysts rate Buy.
6 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 28.0% above current price.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
27 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Integrate CCS acquisitioncapital allocationmixed65% progressprovisional
1/28: “Amphenol expects the CCS business to generate full-year 2026 sales of approximately $4.1 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The CCS acquisition is expected to generate $4.1 billion in sales for 2026. The acquisition was completed in January 2026, and management has consistently emphasized its integration and expected contribution to revenue. The trajectory is on track with management's expectations.
- 2.Increase sales in Q2 2026growthmixed65% progress
4/29: “Amphenol expects sales to be in the range of $8.1 billion to $8.2 billion for Q2 2026.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q2. Amphenol expects sales to be between $8.1 billion and $8.2 billion for Q2 2026. This guidance reflects management's focus on achieving sales growth, with the trajectory currently on track as per the latest guidance.
- 3.Achieve EPS target for Q2 2026growthmixed65% progress
4/29: “Adjusted Diluted EPS is expected to be in the range of $1.14 to $1.16 for Q2 2026.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q2. Amphenol has set an EPS target of $1.14 to $1.16 for Q2 2026. This reflects management's focus on achieving profitability targets, with the trajectory currently aligned with the guidance provided.
Guidance track record
Last 8 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-30 | $0.72 – $0.74 | $0.39 | miss |
| 2024-03-31 | $0.71 – $0.73 | $0.40 | miss |
| 2024-06-30 | $0.79 – $0.81 | $0.44 | miss |
| 2024-09-30 | $0.43 – $0.45 | $0.50 | beat |
| 2025-03-31 | $0.49 – $0.51 | $0.63 | beat |
| 2025-06-30 | $0.64 – $0.66 | $0.86 | beat |
| 2025-09-30 | $0.77 – $0.79 | $0.93 | beat |
| 2026-03-31 | $0.91 – $0.93 | $1.06 | beat |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 43%; 252d 39%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −28%. Bad day move −4%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLK) — 0.09 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 35/100, drawdown 44/100, beta 9/100, earnings vol —.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 50% of the last 8 guided quarters · -11.8% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Integrate CCS acquisition
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Focus on integrating the Connectivity and Cable Solutions business acquired from CommScope.
MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The CCS acquisition is expected to generate $4.1 billion in sales for 2026. The acquisition was completed in January 2026, and management has consistently emphasized its integration and expected contribution to revenue. The trajectory is on track with management's expectations.
CCS business expected to generate $4.1 billion in 202665%CEO/CFO:“Amphenol expects the CCS business to generate full-year 2026 sales of approximately $4.1 billion.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-01-28Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (3)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“Amphenol expects the CCS business to generate full-year 2026 sales of approximately $4.1 billion.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Amphenol announced the closing of its acquisition of CommScope's CCS business.”
- 2025-Q3Press release
“Amphenol remains excited about the previously announced acquisitions of the CCS business.”
- #2
Increase sales in Q2 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Aim to achieve sales growth in the second quarter of 2026.
On track →MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q2. Amphenol expects sales to be between $8.1 billion and $8.2 billion for Q2 2026. This guidance reflects management's focus on achieving sales growth, with the trajectory currently on track as per the latest guidance.
65%CEO/CFO:“Amphenol expects sales to be in the range of $8.1 billion to $8.2 billion for Q2 2026.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“Amphenol expects sales to be in the range of $8.1 billion to $8.2 billion for Q2 2026.”
- #3
Achieve EPS target for Q2 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Target to achieve the EPS guidance for the second quarter of 2026.
On track →MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q2. Amphenol has set an EPS target of $1.14 to $1.16 for Q2 2026. This reflects management's focus on achieving profitability targets, with the trajectory currently aligned with the guidance provided.
65%CEO/CFO:“Adjusted Diluted EPS is expected to be in the range of $1.14 to $1.16 for Q2 2026.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“Adjusted Diluted EPS is expected to be in the range of $1.14 to $1.16 for Q2 2026.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
APH Amphenol | +31 | fair | elevated |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +20 | full | moderate |
AAPL Apple Inc | +19 | full | moderate |
MSFT Microsoft | +27 | fair | elevated |
AVGO Broadcom | +11 | expensive | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-29)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-29)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-063d agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 5, 2026, Amphenol Corporation (the “Company”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) by and among the Company and Barclays Bank PLC, Citigroup Global Markets Limited, Commerzbank Aktiengesellschaft, HSBC Bank plc, BNP PARIBAS, J.P. Morgan Securities plc, Mizuho International plc, Standard Chartered Bank, ING Bank N.V., Belgian Branch and Siebert Williams Shank & Co., LLC, relating to the offer and sale of €600 m…
capital allocationneutralscore 62 - 2026-04-2910d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 29, 2026, Amphenol Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release setting forth the Company’s financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. This Current Report on Form 8-K may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and the provisions of Section 2…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 58 - 2026-05-063d agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On May 5, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the pricing of the Notes Offering, which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein.
capital allocationneutralscore 48 - 2026-03-301mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On March 30, 2026, Amphenol Technologies Holding GmbH (“Amphenol Technologies”), a German limited liability company ( Gesellschaft mit beschränkter Haftung ) and wholly-owned indirect subsidiary of Amphenol Corporation, issued and sold €500,000,000 aggregate principal amount of Amphenol Technologies’ 3.625% Senior Notes due 2031 (the “Notes”), pursuant to Amphenol Corporation’s and Amphenol Technologies’ Registration Statement on Form S-3 (No. 333-2…
capital allocationneutralscore 26 - 2026-03-241mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On March 24, 2026, Amphenol Technologies Holding GmbH (“Amphenol Technologies”), a German limited liability company ( Gesellschaft mit beschränkter Haftung ) and wholly-owned indirect subsidiary of Amphenol Corporation (the “Company”), entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Amphenol Technologies Underwriting Agreement”) by and among Amphenol Technologies, as issuer, the Company, as guarantor, and Barclays Bank PLC, Citigroup Global Markets Eur…
capital allocationneutralscore 23
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.