ARE
Alexandria Real Estate EquitiesNYSEReal EstateReit - OfficeSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, ARE has a signal label of "mild_favorable" with a composite score of 10.4. This change from a previous label of "mixed" reflects a medium confidence level of 68.7. The top drivers influencing this score include macro factors such as rates, growth, labor, and inflation. The assessment is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.00 → $0.12. 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 4 maintained. 18% of analysts rate Buy.
4 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 17.3% above current price.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
Transition story with positive analyst positioning — often a turnaround setup.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
8 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
- 2026-01-12ARE — President transitionimpact 0.41
- 2025-12-08ARE — President transitionimpact 0.38
- 2026-02-25ARE — debt issuanceimpact 0.33
- 2026-02-25ARE — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…impact 0.26
- 2026-02-12ARE — debt issuanceimpact 0.25
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Maintain strong financial guidancegrowthbehind5% progress
4/27: “Our guidance for 2026 has been updated to reflect our current view of existing market conditions.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Funds from operations per share guidance for 2026 is $6.30 to $6.50. Despite the earnings miss in 2025-Q4, the company maintains its guidance, indicating a focus on aligning with market conditions.
- 2.Manage capital allocation effectivelycapital allocationmixed35% progress
2/25: “We issued and sold $750,000,000 aggregate principal amount of the Company’s 5.25% Senior Notes.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company issued $750 million in senior notes in 2026-Q1 and continues to focus on asset sales to fund capital needs. Despite the strategic focus, the financials show a net income decline from $492.16 million in 2025-Q4 to a loss of $99.1 million in 2026-Q1, indicating limited progress in capital allocation effectiveness.
- 3.Ensure leadership stabilitytalentmixed33% progressprovisional
1/12: “Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company has experienced executive changes, including a president transition in 2026-Q1. Despite these changes, the focus remains on leadership stability, though the impact on strategic initiatives is yet to be fully realized.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 58%; 252d 44%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −52%. Bad day move −4%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLRE) — 1.56 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 27/100, drawdown 0/100, beta 44/100, earnings vol —.
via XLRE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- label change · signal_labelseverity 20
Signal changed from 'mixed' to 'mild_favorable'.
As of 2026-05-08, the signal label for ARE changed from 'mixed' to 'mild_favorable'. This change reflects an improvement in the assessment of the stock's outlook. The forward view indicates an unfavorable scenario with a composite delta estimate of -8.03 if rates state reverses from -0.37 to +0.37, and another unfavorable scenario with a delta estimate of -8.0 if next-quarter guidance is cut. There are also favorable scenarios with potential positive impacts from a sector trend improvement and guidance raise.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Maintain strong financial guidance
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Ensure financial guidance remains robust and aligned with market conditions.
On track →BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Funds from operations per share guidance for 2026 is $6.30 to $6.50. Despite the earnings miss in 2025-Q4, the company maintains its guidance, indicating a focus on aligning with market conditions.
Funds from operations per share guidance $6.30 to $6.50 for 20265%CEO/CFO:“Our guidance for 2026 has been updated to reflect our current view of existing market conditions.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-27Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“Our guidance for 2026 that was initially provided on December 3, 2025 has been reiterated.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Funds from operations per share, as adjusted (1) $6.30 to $6.50.”
- #2
Manage capital allocation effectively
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Optimize capital allocation through strategic debt issuance and asset sales.
Behind →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company issued $750 million in senior notes in 2026-Q1 and continues to focus on asset sales to fund capital needs. Despite the strategic focus, the financials show a net income decline from $492.16 million in 2025-Q4 to a loss of $99.1 million in 2026-Q1, indicating limited progress in capital allocation effectiveness.
$750 million debt issuance in 2026-Q135%CEO/CFO:“We issued and sold $750,000,000 aggregate principal amount of the Company’s 5.25% Senior Notes.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-25Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“We issued and sold $750,000,000 aggregate principal amount of the Company’s 5.25% Senior Notes.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“We expect to fund a significant portion of our capital requirements through dispositions.”
- #3
Ensure leadership stability
TalentNew since 2026-05-04Maintain a stable leadership team to support strategic initiatives.
Watch →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company has experienced executive changes, including a president transition in 2026-Q1. Despite these changes, the focus remains on leadership stability, though the impact on strategic initiatives is yet to be fully realized.
33%CEO/CFO:“Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-01-12Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Resignation of Executive Officer.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
P/E over the last 5 years
68 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities | +10 | fair | elevated |
WELL Welltower | +7.9 | expensive | low |
PLD Prologis | +10 | full | low |
EQIX Equinix | +22 | fair | moderate |
AMT American Tower | +18 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If real_estate sector trend rises from +0.00 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-27)+4.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-8.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-27)-8.0 pts
- If real_estate sector trend falls from +0.00 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2712d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 27, 2026, Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release entitled “Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. Reports First Quarter Ended March 31, 2026 Financial and Operating Results.” The press release referred to certain supplemental information that is available on the Company’s website at www.are.com. A copy of the press release and supplemental information are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The informati…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 55 - 2026-02-252mo agoItem 1.01
Entry Into a Material Agreement On February 25, 2026, Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (the “Company”) issued and sold $750,000,000 aggregate principal amount of the Company’s 5.25% Senior Notes due 2036 (the “Notes”) in a registered public offering pursuant to an effective shelf registration statement on Form S-3 on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Notes are governed by the terms of an Indenture, dated as of February 13, 2025 (the “Base Indenture”), by and among the…
capital allocationneutralscore 12 - 2026-02-252mo agoItem 2.03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant The information provided in
capital allocationnegativescore 10 - 2026-01-263mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 26, 2026, Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release entitled “Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. Reports Fourth Quarter and Year Ended December 31, 2025 Financial and Operating Results.” The press release referred to certain supplemental information that is available on the Company’s website at www.are.com. A copy of the press release and supplemental information are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1…
earnings preannouncementnegativescore 7 - 2026-02-122mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events On February 10, 2026, Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (the “Company”) and Alexandria Real Estate Equities, L.P., as guarantor (the “Guarantor”), entered into an underwriting agreement with Citigroup Global Markets Inc., BofA Securities, Inc., J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. and TD Securities (USA) LLC, as representatives (the “Representatives”) of the several Underwriters named therein (the “Underwriters”), in connection with the sale of $750,000,000 a…
capital allocationneutralscore 7
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.