Array Technologies, Inc. (ARRY)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ARRY
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $4.60 ARRY trades at 8.5× p/e, below its 33× p/e peer median. Our $13 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with low confidence: our number sits well above the analyst range and the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $6.00–$10. Note: our $13 fair value sits above the entire analyst range ($6.00–$10). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $9.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $3.51 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $3.67 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $12.81 | 14.5 | 1.04 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$6.00 – $10.00 (median $9.00) · 7 analysts · as of 2026-08-06
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $20.83 |
| 24.1 |
| 0.87 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $17.32 | 20.5 | 0.85 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $28.16 | 3.7 | 7.61 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $9.95 | 18.4 | 0.54 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $19.64 | 33.5 | 0.59 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $11.12 | 24.1 | 0.46 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $23.27 | 20.5 | 1.14 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $20.93 | 18.4 | 1.14 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $7.31 | 24.1 | 0.30 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $30.77 | 20.5 | 1.50 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $27.68 | 18.4 | 1.50 | Analyst | medium |