Atlanticus Holdings Corp. (ATLC)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$93.13-3.70%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ATLC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -24.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 20.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 45.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 37 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: The Consumer Price Index affects how much people spend and inflation. This may change Atlanticus's market.
Watch forCPI increases more than 0.4% month over month.
Also watch forCPI increases less than 0.1% month over month.
Why it matters: Lower GDP growth may mean a weaker economy. This could hurt Atlanticus's performance.
Worry ifGDP growth reported below 2% in the second estimate on August 26, 2026.
Less concerning ifGDP growth remains at or above 2% in the second estimate.
Why it matters: The Producer Price Index affects inflation. Changes can impact Atlanticus's costs and prices.
Watch forPPI increases more than 0.5% month over month.
Also watch forPPI increases less than 0.2% month over month.
Why it matters: Strong GDP growth and high corporate profits can make investors trust Atlanticus more.
Supportive ifGDP growth exceeds expectations in the second estimate.
Worry ifGDP growth is lower than expected in the second estimate.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$212 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $569 loss on $10,000 · 5.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,702 loss on $10,000 · 37.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A drop below this level would signal a slowdown in the financial sector's growth phase.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 15% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth stays at or above 15% year over year.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth would signal a weakening trend in the financial sector. This could impact Atlanticus's performance.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below the median of 13% year over year.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth stays at or above the median of 13% year over year.