Aevex Corp. (AVEX)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
$9.26-10.79%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AVEX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -49.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 27 industry peers
AVEX — government funding
Dated 2026-08-12
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 12, 2026, AEVEX Corp., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), entered into an Agreement and Plan of Reorganization (the “Acquisition Agreement”) with High Tide Merger Sub 1, Inc., a Delaware corporation and a direct wholly owned subsidiary of the Company (“Merger Sub 1”), High Tide Merger Sub 2, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company and a direct wholly owned subsidiary of the Company (“Merger Sub 2”), Maritime Applied Physics Corporat…
Why it matters: AEVEX reported 114% year-over-year production growth in Q2. Another strong gain would show it can keep building at scale.
Watch forQ3 production volume growth is above 114% year over year.
Also watch forQ3 production volume growth is below 114% year over year.
Why it matters: The sector is in a maturing phase, with slowing growth. AEVEX's own revenue growth can show whether it is bucking that trend.
Supportive ifAEVEX reports year-over-year revenue growth above Q2's roughly 100% rate.
Worry ifAEVEX reports lower year-over-year revenue growth than Q2's roughly 100% rate.
Why it matters: The plant has capacity for about 40 vessels a month. Output near that level would show AEVEX is using the added production base.
Supportive ifAEVEX reports Baltimore output of at least 40 unmanned surface vessels per month.
Worry ifAEVEX reports output below 40 vessels per month, or a delay in raising plant output.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$362 on $10,000 · ±3.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,184 loss on $10,000 · 11.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,712 loss on $10,000 · 77.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.