AVY
Avery DennisonNYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, AVY has a composite score of 19.7, indicating a "mild favorable" signal. The high confidence level of 83.0 suggests strong analyst agreement. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as growth, inflation, labor, and rates, with a notable risk label of "moderate" and a valuation score of 70.0, categorized as "inexpensive."
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.03
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $2.58 → $2.47 (-4.4% / 30d). 0 raised, 6 cut, 10 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 6 maintained. 82% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 25.2% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
13 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Drive growth in high-value categoriesgrowthbehind30% progressprovisional
2/4: “CEO: 'Driving outsized growth in high-value categories, which now represent approximately 45% of our total revenue.'”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. High-value categories now represent approximately 45% of total revenue. Revenue grew from $8.8 billion in 2024 to $8.9 billion in 2025, indicating limited progress in achieving outsized growth. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.
- 2.Maintain disciplined capital allocationcapital allocationbehind30% progressprovisional
2/4: “CEO: 'We continued to demonstrate disciplined capital allocation, balancing organic investments and the strategic acquisition of Taylor Adhesives.'”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Returned $861 million in cash to shareholders in 2025 through dividends and share repurchases. The company continues to execute its capital allocation strategy, indicating consistent delivery on this priority.
- 3.Achieve cost reductions through restructuringcostbehind0% progressprovisional
2/4: “CEO: 'Realized more than $60 million in pre-tax savings from restructuring actions during 2025.'”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Realized more than $60 million in pre-tax savings from restructuring actions during 2025. The company has consistently reported cost savings from restructuring, indicating progress in achieving this priority.
Guidance track record
Last 6 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-30 | $2.00 – $2.20 | $2.10 | inside |
| 2023-12-31 | $2.10 – $2.25 | $2.16 | inside |
| 2025-06-30 | $2.30 – $2.50 | $2.42 | inside |
| 2025-09-30 | $2.24 – $2.40 | $2.37 | inside |
| 2025-12-31 | $2.35 – $2.45 | $2.45 | inside |
| 2026-03-31 | $2.40 – $2.46 | $2.47 | beat |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 27%; 252d 24%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −18%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLB) — 0.01 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 60/100, drawdown 63/100, beta 2/100, earnings vol —.
via XLB
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 83% of the last 6 guided quarters · 1.0% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Drive growth in high-value categories
GrowthFocus on expanding high-value categories, including Intelligent Labels, to drive revenue growth.
BehindStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. High-value categories now represent approximately 45% of total revenue. Revenue grew from $8.8 billion in 2024 to $8.9 billion in 2025, indicating limited progress in achieving outsized growth. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.
30%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'Driving outsized growth in high-value categories, which now represent approximately 45% of our total revenue.'”Earnings callSource dated 2026-02-04Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-04provisionalShow history (4)
- 2025-Q4Earnings call
“CEO: 'Driving outsized growth in high-value categories...'”
- 2025-Q3Earnings call
“CEO: 'Focus on our core strategies, including driving outsized growth in our high-value categories...'”
- 2025-Q2Earnings call
“CEO: 'Growth in our high-value categories and productivity in the base business offset the impact from tariffs.'”
- 2025-Q1Earnings call
“CEO: 'High-value categories, including Intelligent Labels, up high single digits in total.'”
- #2
Maintain disciplined capital allocation
Capital allocationContinue disciplined capital allocation strategy, balancing organic investments and shareholder returns.
BehindStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Returned $861 million in cash to shareholders in 2025 through dividends and share repurchases. The company continues to execute its capital allocation strategy, indicating consistent delivery on this priority.
Returned $861 million in cash to shareholders in 202530%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'We continued to demonstrate disciplined capital allocation, balancing organic investments and the strategic acquisition of Taylor Adhesives.'”Earnings callSource dated 2026-02-04Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-04provisionalShow history (4)
- 2025-Q4Earnings call
“CEO: 'Disciplined capital allocation, balancing organic investments and the strategic acquisition of Taylor Adhesives.'”
- 2025-Q3Earnings call
“CEO: 'Executing on our disciplined capital allocation strategy.'”
- 2025-Q2Earnings call
“CEO: 'We continue to deploy capital in a disciplined manner, executing our long-term capital allocation strategy.'”
- 2025-Q1Earnings call
“CEO: 'Executing its long-term capital allocation strategy.'”
- #3
Achieve cost reductions through restructuring
CostImplement restructuring actions to achieve cost reductions and improve operational efficiency.
BehindStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Realized more than $60 million in pre-tax savings from restructuring actions during 2025. The company has consistently reported cost savings from restructuring, indicating progress in achieving this priority.
Realized more than $60 million in pre-tax savings from restructuring in 20250%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'Realized more than $60 million in pre-tax savings from restructuring actions during 2025.'”Earnings callSource dated 2026-02-04Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-04provisionalShow history (4)
- 2025-Q4Earnings call
“CEO: 'Realized more than $60 million in pre-tax savings from restructuring actions during 2025.'”
- 2025-Q3Earnings call
“CEO: 'Realized approximately $48 million in pre-tax savings from restructuring.'”
- 2025-Q2Earnings call
“CEO: 'Realized approximately $30 million in pre-tax savings from restructuring.'”
- 2025-Q1Earnings call
“CEO: 'Realized approximately $14 million in pre-tax savings from restructuring.'”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
AVY Avery Dennison | +20 | inexpensive | moderate |
LIN Linde plc | +24 | inexpensive | moderate |
NEM Newmont | +17 | inexpensive | elevated |
FCX Freeport-McMoRan | +6.4 | — | elevated |
SHW Sherwin-Williams | +18 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If materials sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)-8.0 pts
- If materials sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-3.5 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2811d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Avery Dennison Corporation’s (the “Company’s”) press release, dated April 28, 2026, announcing the Company’s preliminary, unaudited financial results for first quarter 2026 and its guidance for second quarter 2026, is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and being furnished (not filed) with this Form 8-K. The Company’s supplemental presentation materials, dated April 28, 2026, regarding its preliminary, unaudited financial review and analysis for firs…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 51 - 2026-02-043mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Avery Dennison Corporation’s (the “Company’s”) press release, dated February 4, 2026, announcing the Company’s preliminary, unaudited financial results for fourth quarter and full-year 2025 and its guidance for first quarter 2026, is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and being furnished (not filed) with this Form 8-K. The Company’s supplemental presentation materials, dated February 4, 2026, regarding its preliminary, unaudited financial review and…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 8 - 2025-10-226mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Avery Dennison Corporation’s (the “Company’s”) press release, dated October 22, 2025, announcing the Company’s preliminary, unaudited financial results for third quarter 2025 and its guidance for fourth quarter 2025, is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and being furnished (not filed) with this Form 8-K. The Company’s supplemental presentation materials, dated October 22, 2025, regarding its preliminary, unaudited financial review and analysis for…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 1 - 2025-09-117mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On September 11, 2025, Avery Dennison Corporation, a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), closed its previously announced issuance of €500,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 4.000% senior notes due 2035 (the “Notes”). The net proceeds from the offering, after deducting underwriting discounts and estimated offering expenses, were approximately €493.5 million. The Company intends to use the net proceeds of the offering for general corporate purpose…
capital allocationpositivescore 0 - 2025-09-117mo agoItem 2.03
Creation of Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement The disclosure in
capital allocationnegativescore 0
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.