BA
BoeingNYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, BA has a composite score of -4.8, indicating a mixed signal. The score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 66.9 and reflects moderate risk. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as growth, labor, rates, and inflation. The valuation score is 13.2, which is labeled as expensive. This analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share-1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.80
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $-0.12 → $-0.24 (-98.7% / 30d). 5 raised, 11 cut, 20 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 78% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 19.1% above current price.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
22 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Stabilize operations and complete development programsgrowthwatchprovisional
10/29: “CEO: 'We remain focused on the work ahead to complete our development programs and stabilize our operations.'”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue increased from $23.27 billion in 2025-Q3 to $23.9 billion in 2025-Q4, indicating progress in stabilizing operations. The trajectory shows limited progress with recurring focus on operational stability.
- 2.Restore trust and progress in recoveryotherwatchprovisional
7/29: “CEO: 'We remain focused on restoring trust and making continued progress in our recovery.'”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Net income was -$5526 million in 2025-Q4, slightly worse than -$5337 million in 2025-Q3, indicating limited progress in financial recovery. The focus on restoring trust remains persistent, but financial results show limited improvement.
- 3.Build on momentum with record backloggrowthon track100% progress
4/22: “CEO: 'Building on our momentum with a strong start to the year and growing record-breaking backlog.'”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Backlog grew to a record $682 billion in 2025-Q4, indicating strong momentum. The trajectory is delivering on maintaining a record-breaking backlog, as stated by management.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 35%; 252d 31%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −25%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 0.96 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 49/100, drawdown 50/100, beta 96/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 0% of the last 3 guided quarters · -57.6% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Stabilize operations and complete development programs
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Focus on stabilizing operations and completing development programs to enhance performance.
WatchStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue increased from $23.27 billion in 2025-Q3 to $23.9 billion in 2025-Q4, indicating progress in stabilizing operations. The trajectory shows limited progress with recurring focus on operational stability.
Revenue increased to $23.9 billion in 2025-Q4No scoreCEO/CFO:“CEO: 'We remain focused on the work ahead to complete our development programs and stabilize our operations.'”Earnings callSource dated 2025-10-29Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (3)
- 2025-Q4Earnings call
“CEO: 'Promoting stable operations, completing our development programs.'”
- 2025-Q3Earnings call
“CEO: 'Focused on the work ahead to complete our development programs and stabilize operations.'”
- 2025-Q2Earnings call
“CEO: 'Focused on stabilizing operations and completing development programs.'”
- #2
Restore trust and progress in recovery
OtherNew since 2026-05-04Commitment to restoring trust and making progress in recovery efforts.
WatchStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Net income was -$5526 million in 2025-Q4, slightly worse than -$5337 million in 2025-Q3, indicating limited progress in financial recovery. The focus on restoring trust remains persistent, but financial results show limited improvement.
Net income was -$5526 million in 2025-Q4No scoreCEO/CFO:“CEO: 'We remain focused on restoring trust and making continued progress in our recovery.'”Earnings callSource dated 2025-07-29Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (2)
- 2025-Q3Earnings call
“CEO: 'Focused on restoring trust and making continued progress in our recovery.'”
- 2025-Q2Earnings call
“CEO: 'Focused on restoring trust and making continued progress in our recovery.'”
- #3
Build on momentum with record backlog
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Leverage momentum to maintain a record-breaking backlog across the business.
On trackNewly stated in 2025-Q4. Backlog grew to a record $682 billion in 2025-Q4, indicating strong momentum. The trajectory is delivering on maintaining a record-breaking backlog, as stated by management.
Backlog grew to a record $682 billion in 2025-Q4100%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'Building on our momentum with a strong start to the year and growing record-breaking backlog.'”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-22Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2025-Q4Earnings call
“CEO: 'Total company backlog grew to a record $682 billion.'”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
P/E over the last 5 years
0 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
BA Boeing | -4.8 | expensive | moderate |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-22)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-22)-8.0 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2217d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 22, 2026, The Boeing Company issued a press release reporting its financial results for the first quarter of 2026. A copy of the Company’s press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 49 - 2026-01-273mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 27, 2026, The Boeing Company issued a press release reporting its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025. A copy of the Company’s press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 7 - 2025-12-035mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On December 1, 2025, the Board of Directors of The Boeing Company (the “Company”) elected Bradley D. Tilden, former Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer of Alaska Air Group, Inc., as a director effective December 3, 2025. Mr. Tilden will serve on the Aerospace Safety Committee and the Finance Committee. Mr. Tilden will participate in the…
executive changeneutralscore 2 - 2025-12-085mo agoItem 7.01
Regulation FD Disclosure. On December 8, 2025, The Boeing Company (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the completion of its acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc, a Delaware corporation. A copy of the Company’s press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information in this Item 7.01, including the exhibit referenced herein, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchang…
mna activitypositivescore 2 - 2025-10-296mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 29, 2025, The Boeing Company issued a press release reporting its financial results for the third quarter of 2025. A copy of the Company’s press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
earnings preannouncementnegativescore 1
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.