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BAC

Bank of America

NYSEFinancialsBanks - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-05-08

$51.31-2.73%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, BAC has a composite score of 18.1 and a signal label of "mild favorable." The valuation label has changed from "fair" to "inexpensive," indicating a shift in perceived value. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as rates, growth, labor, and inflation. The analysis is provisional.

Composite +18as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
strong
Top 20% of financials cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.08
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
7262768894568817
F2 · Value
neutral
Mid-cohort by earnings yield
Why this rank
Price
$51.31
TTM EPS
$3.52
Earnings yield
6.9%
P/E (TTM)
14.6

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
fragile
Bottom 10% cash conversion in financials cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
26,973
TTM CFO ($M)
-8,805
CFO/NI
-0.33
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
Insufficient data
No score yet
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bullish15 analysts, 88% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.08 → $1.09 (+1.3% / 30d). 8 raised, 5 cut, 15 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 6 maintained. 88% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 11.3% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

No recent events recorded.

2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Increase net income and EPSgrowthbehind0% progress
    4/15: CEO: 'Net income of $8.6 billion reflected the team’s disciplined execution.'
    Why this status

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Net income increased to $8.6 billion in 2026-Q1, with EPS reaching $1.11, up 25% year-over-year. The trajectory shows delivering on growth through disciplined execution and revenue increases.

  2. 2.Enhance digital banking capabilitiesproductwatchprovisional
    4/15: CFO: '50 million active digital banking users, up 1 million.'
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Active digital banking users increased from 49 million in 2025-Q4 to 50 million in 2026-Q1. The focus on digital expansion is delivering increased customer engagement.

  3. 3.Maintain strong capital returns to shareholderscapital allocationmixed35% progress
    4/15: CFO: 'Returned $9.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.'
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Capital returns to shareholders increased from $8.5 billion in 2025-Q4 to $9.3 billion in 2026-Q1. The company is delivering on its commitment to strong shareholder returns.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −18%, typical day ±1.1%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 22%; 252d 22%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −18%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLF) 1.18 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 64/100, drawdown 64/100, beta 82/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-9.7%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLF

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. label change · valuation_label
    severity 20

    Valuation label changed from 'fair' to 'inexpensive'.

As of May 8, 2026, the valuation label for BAC changed from "fair" to "inexpensive." This reflects a significant label change. Additionally, the forward view indicates an unfavorable scenario with a composite delta estimate of -8.0 if next-quarter guidance is cut, and several favorable scenarios, including a composite delta estimate of 6.57 if rates reverse from negative to positive. The overall confidence level remains medium.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite59.6 / 100
Capital allocation43
Earnings discipline86
Margin discipline75
Balance sheet51
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction47

Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 0.0% avg surprise

as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Increase net income and EPS

    Growth

    Focus on increasing net income and earnings per share through disciplined execution and revenue growth.

    Behind

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Net income increased to $8.6 billion in 2026-Q1, with EPS reaching $1.11, up 25% year-over-year. The trajectory shows delivering on growth through disciplined execution and revenue increases.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:CEO: 'Net income of $8.6 billion reflected the team’s disciplined execution.'
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-15Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-15
    Show history (3)
    • 2026-Q1Press release

      CEO: 'Net income of $8.6 billion reflected the team’s disciplined execution.'

    • 2025-Q4Earnings call

      CEO: 'Net income increased to $7.6 billion, driven by strong revenue growth.'

    • 2025-Q3Earnings call

      CEO: 'Net income of $8.5 billion, up 15% year-over-year.'

  • #2

    Enhance digital banking capabilities

    Product

    Continue to expand and improve digital banking services to increase customer engagement and operational efficiency.

    Watch

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Active digital banking users increased from 49 million in 2025-Q4 to 50 million in 2026-Q1. The focus on digital expansion is delivering increased customer engagement.

    No score
    CEO/CFO:CFO: '50 million active digital banking users, up 1 million.'
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-15Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-15provisional
    Show history (2)
    • 2026-Q1Press release

      CFO: '50 million active digital banking users, up 1 million.'

    • 2025-Q4Earnings call

      CFO: 'Digital engagement continues to grow with 49 million active users.'

  • #3

    Maintain strong capital returns to shareholders

    Capital allocation

    Commit to returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

    Mixed

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Capital returns to shareholders increased from $8.5 billion in 2025-Q4 to $9.3 billion in 2026-Q1. The company is delivering on its commitment to strong shareholder returns.

    35%
    CEO/CFO:CFO: 'Returned $9.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.'
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-15Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-15
    Show history (2)
    • 2026-Q1Press release

      CFO: 'Returned $9.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.'

    • 2025-Q4Earnings call

      CFO: 'We returned $8.5 billion to shareholders this quarter.'

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
59higher = cheaper

Roughly priced in line with peers.

Compared to its own history
75higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
13.1x
EV/EBITDA
14.1x
FCF yield
14.1%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
inexpensiveas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
BAC
Bank of America
+18inexpensivemoderate
BRK-B
Berkshire Hathaway
+6.0moderate
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
-0.9fulllow
V
Visa Inc.
+20low
MA
Mastercard
+15fulllow
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.1%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.4%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-17.9%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)+6.6 pts
  • If financials sector trend rises from +0.07 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-15)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-15)-8.0 pts
  • If financials sector trend falls from +0.07 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-1523d agoItem 2.02

    RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On April 15, 2026 , Bank of America Corporation (the “Corporation”) announced financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, reporting first quarter net income of $8.6 billion, or $1.11 per diluted share. A copy of the press release announcing the Corporation’s results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026 (the “Press Release”) is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference in this

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 38
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-25 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.