Skip to content

BEN

Franklin Resources

NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-05-08

$31.05+1.74%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, BEN has a composite score of 9.9, indicating a mixed signal with a high confidence level of 81.1. The score is influenced by various factors, including a macro score of -7.7 and a sector score of 14.6. Key drivers include macroeconomic conditions related to rates, growth, labor, and inflation.

Composite +9.9as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
weak
Bottom 20% of financials cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    0.71
  • Slope (norm)
    0.13
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
129154-95281
F2 · Value
expensive
Most expensive 30% of financials cohort
Why this rank
Price
$31.05
TTM EPS
$1.13
Earnings yield
3.6%
P/E (TTM)
27.5

Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1

F3 · Earnings quality
neutral
Mid-cohort cash conversion
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
557
TTM CFO ($M)
861
CFO/NI
1.55
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
volatile
Bottom 30% activity in financials cohort· see deep-dive ↓
capital unfriendlyBottom 30% — net capital-unfriendly direction
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bullish6 PT revisions / 30d, avg 3.8% above currentfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $0.66 → $0.64 (-2.3% / 30d). 3 raised, 4 cut, 8 covering analysts.

Rating actions

1 upgrade, 0 downgrades / 30d, 6 maintained. 27% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

6 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 3.8% above current price.

Material events

1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.

Transition story with positive analyst positioning — often a turnaround setup.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Increase share buyback authorizationcapital allocationmixed65% progressprovisional
    12/17: The Board authorized repurchase of up to an additional 20.8 million shares.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. No specific buyback activity reported in the financials for 2026-Q1, indicating limited progress on execution. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.

  2. 2.Maintain dividend paymentscapital allocationbehind30% progressprovisional
    1/30: Dividends declared per share were $0.33 for the quarter.
    Why this status

    Stated in 6 of last 6 quarters. Dividends declared per share increased from $0.32 in 2025-Q4 to $0.33 in 2026-Q1, indicating consistent delivery on this priority.

  3. 3.Achieve earnings growthgrowthon track100% progressprovisional
    1/30: Net income was $255.5 million, up from $117.6 million in the previous quarter.
    Why this status

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Net income increased from $117.6 million in 2025-Q4 to $255.5 million in 2026-Q1, showing positive trajectory and delivery on earnings growth.

3

Guidance track record

Last 8 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.

2 beat, 3 inside, 2 miss
Per-quarter detail
PeriodGuidanceActualResult
2022-03-31$0.88$0.96beat
2022-06-30$0.96$0.82miss
2022-09-30$0.50$0.78beat
2023-06-30$0.61$0.63inside
2023-09-30$0.58$0.84unclassifiable
2024-09-30$0.60$0.59inside
2025-09-30$0.49$0.21miss
2026-03-31$0.70$0.71inside

Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −19%, typical day ±1.5%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 32%; 252d 27%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −19%. Bad day move −3%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLF) 1.23 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 55/100, drawdown 62/100, beta 77/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-9.7%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLF

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite41.8 / 100
Capital allocation11
Earnings discipline44
Margin discipline44
Balance sheet23
Guidance credibility66
Post-call reaction52

Met or beat guidance 63% of the last 8 guided quarters · 5.4% avg surprise

as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Increase share buyback authorization

    Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04

    Expand the share repurchase program to enhance shareholder value.

    On trackMixed

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. No specific buyback activity reported in the financials for 2026-Q1, indicating limited progress on execution. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.

    65%
    CEO/CFO:The Board authorized repurchase of up to an additional 20.8 million shares.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2025-12-17Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisional
    Show history (2)
    • 2026-Q1Multiple sources

      The Board authorized repurchase of up to an additional 20.8 million shares.

    • 2025-Q4Multiple sources

      The Board authorized repurchase of up to an additional 20.8 million shares.

  • #2

    Maintain dividend payments

    Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04

    Continue regular dividend payments to shareholders.

    On trackBehind

    Stated in 6 of last 6 quarters. Dividends declared per share increased from $0.32 in 2025-Q4 to $0.33 in 2026-Q1, indicating consistent delivery on this priority.

    Dividends declared per share were $0.33 for the quarter
    30%
    CEO/CFO:Dividends declared per share were $0.33 for the quarter.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-01-30Stated 6 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisional
    Show history (6)
    • 2026-Q1Multiple sources

      Dividends declared per share were $0.33 for the quarter.

    • 2025-Q4Multiple sources

      Dividends declared per share were $0.32 for the quarter.

    • 2025-Q3Multiple sources

      Dividends declared per share were $0.32 for the quarter.

    • 2025-Q2Multiple sources

      Dividends declared per share were $0.31 for the quarter.

    • 2025-Q1Multiple sources

      Dividends declared per share were $0.32 for the quarter.

    • 2024-Q4Multiple sources

      Dividends declared per share were $0.32 for the quarter.

  • #3

    Achieve earnings growth

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-04

    Focus on increasing net income and earnings per share.

    On track

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Net income increased from $117.6 million in 2025-Q4 to $255.5 million in 2026-Q1, showing positive trajectory and delivery on earnings growth.

    Net income was $255.5 million, up from $117.6 million in the previous quarter
    100%
    CEO/CFO:Net income was $255.5 million, up from $117.6 million in the previous quarter.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-01-30Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisional
    Show history (3)
    • 2026-Q1Multiple sources

      Net income was $255.5 million, up from $117.6 million in the previous quarter.

    • 2025-Q4Multiple sources

      Net income was $117.6 million, up from $92.3 million in the previous quarter.

    • 2025-Q3Multiple sources

      Net income was $92.3 million, down from $151.4 million in the previous quarter.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
49higher = cheaper

Roughly priced in line with peers.

Compared to its own history
75higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
14.5x
EV/EBITDA
27.0x
FCF yield
5.8%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
fairas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
BEN
Franklin Resources
+9.9fairmoderate
BRK-B
Berkshire Hathaway
+6.0moderate
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
-0.9fulllow
V
Visa Inc.
+20low
MA
Mastercard
+15fulllow
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.5%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.7%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-19.2%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)+6.6 pts
  • If financials sector trend rises from +0.07 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)-8.0 pts
  • If financials sector trend falls from +0.07 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-2811d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 28, 2026, Franklin Resources, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the financial results for the Company’s second fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference.

    earnings preannouncementpositivescore 56
  2. 2026-01-303mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 30, 2026, Franklin Resources, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the financial results for the Company’s first fiscal quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference.

    earnings preannouncementpositivescore 7
  3. 2026-02-053mo agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (e) At the annual meeting of stockholders of Franklin Resources, Inc. (the “Company”) held on February 3, 2026 (the “Annual Meeting”), the Company’s stockholders approved an amendment and restatement of the Company's 1998 Employee Stock Investment Plan ("ESIP"), to increase the number of shares of common stock, par value $0.10 per share, of the Com…

    executive changeneutralscore 7
  4. 2025-12-174mo agoItem 1.01

    Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Joinder and Commitment Increase Agreement On December 11, 2025, Franklin Resources, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), entered into a Joinder and Commitment Increase Agreement (the “Joinder Agreement”), by and among the Company, as borrower, Mizuho Bank, Ltd., Royal Bank of Canada, The Bank of New York Mellon, each of the other Lenders party thereto and Bank of America, N.A., as administrative agent, which amends the Amended and Restated…

    capital allocationneutralscore 2
  5. 2025-12-174mo agoItem 8.01

    Other Events. On December 17, 2025, the Board of Directors of the Company authorized the Company to repurchase, from time to time, up to an additional 20.8 million shares of its common stock in either open market or private transactions, for a total of up to 40.0 million shares available for repurchase. The new share authorization is in addition to the existing authorization, of which approximately 19.2 million shares remained available for repurchase at November 30, 2025. The size and timing…

    capital allocationpositivescore 2
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-01-30 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.