BG
Bunge GlobalNYSEConsumer StaplesFarm ProductsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, BG has a mixed analyst scoring with a composite score of 2.7 and medium confidence at 60%. The score is influenced by various factors, including a macro score of 15.5 and a sector score of 6.1, indicating moderate risk. The top drivers include macro labor, inflation, rates, and growth, with several scenarios suggesting both favorable and unfavorable outcomes based on changes in labor and sector trends. This scoring is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.04
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.66 → $1.93 (+15.9% / 30d). 5 raised, 0 cut, 6 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 89% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 18.8% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
40 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
4 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Integration of Viterra acquisitiongrowthbehind10% progressprovisional
2/4: “CEO: 'We completed our transformational combination with Viterra, advanced major growth projects across our global network.'”
Why this status
Stated in 5 of last 5 quarters. The integration of Viterra is a recurring focus, with management emphasizing the capture of synergies. However, specific financial impacts or synergies realized have not been detailed in the financials, indicating limited substantive delivery so far.
- 2.Announce share buyback programcapital allocationmixed40% progress
3/19: “BG announced a share buyback program on March 17, 2026.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The company announced a share buyback program on March 17, 2026, but the financials do not specify the number of shares repurchased this quarter, indicating limited progress in execution.
- 3.Amend securitization programcapital allocationmixed40% progress
4/2: “BG amended its existing trade receivables securitization program on March 31, 2026.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The amendment to the securitization program was announced on March 31, 2026, but the financials do not provide specific impacts or benefits realized, indicating limited substantive delivery.
- 4.CEO transitiontalentwatchprovisional
4/1: “Not mentioned in most recent disclosures.”
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 28%; 252d 31%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −15%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLP) — 0.54 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 48/100, drawdown 69/100, beta 54/100, earnings vol —.
Calm + bullish setup — clean pre-earnings positioning pattern.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Integration of Viterra acquisition
GrowthFocus on integrating Viterra to capture operational and commercial synergies.
BehindStated in 5 of last 5 quarters. The integration of Viterra is a recurring focus, with management emphasizing the capture of synergies. However, specific financial impacts or synergies realized have not been detailed in the financials, indicating limited substantive delivery so far.
10%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'We completed our transformational combination with Viterra, advanced major growth projects across our global network.'”Earnings callSource dated 2026-02-04Stated 5 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-04provisionalShow history (5)
- 2026-Q1Earnings call
“CEO: 'The Bunge team delivered a strong first quarter, executing with the discipline and speed that define this organization.'”
- 2025-Q4Earnings call
“CEO: '2025 was a year of significant achievement for Bunge. We completed our transformational combination with Viterra.'”
- 2025-Q3Earnings call
“CEO: 'In our first full quarter since closing the Viterra transaction, our combined team delivered strong results.'”
- 2025-Q2Earnings call
“CEO: 'We completed our transformative combination with Viterra. The integration is proceeding well.'”
- 2025-Q1Earnings call
“CEO: 'We are in the final stage of regulatory approval for our combination with Viterra.'”
- #2
Announce share buyback program
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Implement a share buyback program as part of capital allocation strategy.
MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The company announced a share buyback program on March 17, 2026, but the financials do not specify the number of shares repurchased this quarter, indicating limited progress in execution.
40%CEO/CFO:“BG announced a share buyback program on March 17, 2026.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-03-19Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“BG announced a share buyback program on March 17, 2026.”
- 2025-Q4Earnings call
“Repurchased $545 million of shares during the quarter.”
- 2024-Q4Earnings call
“Repurchased $500 million of shares during Q4, bringing the YTD total to $1.1 billion.”
- #3
Amend securitization program
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Amend the existing trade receivables securitization program to optimize capital structure.
MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The amendment to the securitization program was announced on March 31, 2026, but the financials do not provide specific impacts or benefits realized, indicating limited substantive delivery.
40%CEO/CFO:“BG amended its existing trade receivables securitization program on March 31, 2026.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-02Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“BG amended its existing trade receivables securitization program on March 31, 2026.”
- 2025-Q4Earnings call
“Amended Bunge's existing trade receivables securitization program.”
- #4
CEO transition
TalentNew since 2026-05-04Bunge Global is undergoing a CEO transition, with a focus on leadership changes.
WatchNo scoreCEO/CFO:“Not mentioned in most recent disclosures.”8-KSource dated 2026-04-01First seen 2026-05-04provisional
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
26 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
BG Bunge Global | +2.7 | full | moderate |
WMT Walmart | -9.3 | expensive | low |
COST Costco | +3.9 | expensive | moderate |
PG Procter & Gamble | +15 | fair | low |
KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | +14 | full | low |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_staples sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If inflation state reverses from -0.34 (negative) to +0.34 (positive)+3.4 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.2 pts
- If consumer_staples sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-2.9 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2910d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 29, 2026, Bunge Global SA ("Bunge") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and incorporated herein by reference. In accordance with general instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in this Item 2.02, including exhibits, is furnished pursuant to Items 2.02 and 9.01 and shall not be deemed "filed" for the purposes of…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 52 - 2026-04-011mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 26, 2026, the Human Resources and Compensation Committee ("Compensation Committee") recommended, and the Board of Directors ("Board") of Bunge Global SA (the "Company") approved, a special, one-time performance-based incentive program (the "Executive Integration Incentive Program") applicable to certain senior officers of the Company, incl…
executive changeneutralscore 34 - 2026-04-021mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into Material Definitive Agreements Amendment to Existing Securitization Program On March 31, 2026, Bunge Global SA (“Bunge”) and certain of its subsidiaries amended its existing trade receivables securitization program (the “Securitization Program”) with a financial institution, as administrative agent, and certain commercial paper conduit purchasers and committed purchasers (the “Purchasers”) pursuant to the Thirtieth Amendment to the Receivables Transfer Agreement and Ninth Amended a…
capital allocationpositivescore 29 - 2026-04-021mo agoItem 2.03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant The information set forth in
capital allocationnegativescore 23 - 2026-03-191mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On March 17, 2026, Bunge Limited Finance Corp. (“BLFC”), a wholly-owned finance subsidiary of Bunge Global SA (“Bunge”), completed the sale and issuance of (i) $500 million aggregate principal amount of 4.800% Senior Notes due 2033 and (ii) $700 million aggregate principal amount of 5.150% Senior Notes due 2036 (collectively, the “Senior Notes”), guaranteed by Bunge, pursuant to an underwriting agreement dated March 17, 2026, with SMBC Nikko Securities America, Inc., Citigroup G…
capital allocationpositivescore 16
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.