Bluerock Homes Trust Inc (BHM)
AMEXReal EstateReit - ResidentialSnapshot 2026-09-04
AMEXReal EstateReit - ResidentialSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BHM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -88.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 13.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 101.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
BHM — capital allocation — CREATION OF A DIRECT FINANCIAL OBLIGATION OR AN OBLIGATION UNDER AN OFF-BALAN…
Dated 2026-09-02
CREATION OF A DIRECT FINANCIAL OBLIGATION OR AN OBLIGATION UNDER AN OFF-BALANCE SHEET ARRANGEMENT OF A REGISTRANT On August 27, 2026, Bluerock Homes Trust, Inc. (the “Company”), through a subsidiary of Bluerock Residential Holdings, L.P., its operating partnership, provided a secured loan in the principal amount of $33,088,000 (the “Loan”) to BR HPE ZC Investment Co, LLC (the “Depositor”), a wholly owned subsidiary of BAM RK DST Investor, LLC, which is a wholly owned subsidiary of Bluerock As…
Why it matters: Improving cash flow shows better operational health and supports growth plans.
Supportive ifCash from operations is over $2.8 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifCash from operations falls back to negative or stays under $2.8 million.
Why it matters: Better cash flow is important for the company's finances and growth plans.
Supportive ifCash from operations is going up. It rises every quarter.
Worry ifCash from operating activities is falling or staying the same.
Why it matters: Completing this acquisition would show progress on growth plans and partnerships.
Supportive ifA press release will say the Golden Pacific portfolio deal is done.
Worry ifNo news or delays in the acquisition process past the expected timeline.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could indicate a stronger market for real estate. This would benefit Bluerock Homes.
Supportive ifReal estate revenue growth speeds up to over 5% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 4% year over year.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$182 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $474 loss on $10,000 · 4.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,534 loss on $10,000 · 35.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Progress on this partnership is key for growth and may improve cash flow. Investors will look for signs of success.
Supportive ifA press release says there are more acquisitions or updates in the Ballast portfolio.
Worry ifNo updates or delays in the partnership's progress.
Why it matters: This news shows the company values its money and its shareholders.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of share buybacks under the $10 million program.
Worry ifNo news or delays in the share buyback program.
Why it matters: Improving cash flow is key for ongoing operations. It shows the company is managing its costs well.
Supportive ifCash from operations is positive for two quarters in a row.
Worry ifCash from operations goes negative again next quarter.