Barfresh Food Group Inc (BRFH)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.240.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BRFH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 17.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 33.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BRFH — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-14
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 14, 2026, Barfresh Food Group, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”) issued an update on recent business developments in conjunction with the filing of its form 10-Q for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. The conference call discussing these results took place on Friday, August 14, 2026, at 1:30 pm Pacific Time (4:30 pm Eastern Time). A telephonic playback will be available through Friday, August 28, 2026. Use of Non-GAAP Me…
Why it matters: Adjusted EBITDA results will show if Barfresh can make more money as planned.
Watch forAdjusted EBITDA loss for Q2 2026 is within the range of $0.3M to $0.2M.
Also watch forAdjusted EBITDA loss is over $0.3M. This shows ongoing problems.
Why it matters: Getting Adjusted EBITDA of $3.2M to $3.8M is key for Barfresh's finances. It shows how well the company runs.
Watch forThe company announces it is on track to achieve Adjusted EBITDA of $3.2M to $3.8M.
Also watch forThe company says it will not reach the Adjusted EBITDA guidance.
Why it matters: Maintaining revenue guidance of $28M to $32M shows Barfresh is on track for growth. This is key for investor trust.
Supportive ifThe company confirms its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance remains at $28M to $32M.
Worry ifThe company lowers its revenue forecast for fiscal 2026.
Why it matters: Finishing the facility is important for Barfresh. It will help them make more products and increase profits.
Supportive ifThe company will open a 44,000-square-foot facility by the end of the year.
Worry ifThere may be delays in opening the facility past year-end.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$195 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $630 loss on $10,000 · 6.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,670 loss on $10,000 · 46.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it could signal a positive shift in the company's performance.
Supportive ifBarfresh reports revenue growth above 4% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: Finishing this facility is important. It will help production and profits. Delays could hurt growth.
Supportive ifThe new facility will be ready by the end of 2026 as planned.
Worry ifConstruction delays will push the opening past the end of 2026.
Why it matters: Meeting this guidance shows that growth is on track despite recent production challenges.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at or above $5.2 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $5.2 million.
Why it matters: Breakeven shows better efficiency. It also means better cost control.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA will be breakeven or better in the second half of 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA will still be negative in the second half of 2026.