Carrier Global (CARR)
NYSEIndustrialsBuilding Products & EquipmentSnapshot 2026-07-07
$68.67-2.04%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Track CARR free→Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Building Products is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 26% growth a year, above the roughly 5% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 37% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskCarrier Global (CARR) aims to grow in HVAC and aftermarket markets. Recent earnings showed a 2% revenue increase and a positive surprise of 11.8%. It trades at 28× P/E, slightly above the 24× peer median. The market is pricing in more growth than expected, indicating full expectations. If CARR cuts guidance, it could negatively impact the stock. Peer multiples imply a price about 26% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-07. CARR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 24 analysts currently covering CARR (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for CARR in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 14 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $68.67. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Building Products — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Maintain full-year financial outlook
Earnings beat supports full-year financial outlook.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-07. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $68.67
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $68.67.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Accelerate growth in HVAC and aftermarket
Market share gain aligns with growth objectives.
Advances: Accelerate growth in HVAC and aftermarket
SWOT analysis indicates potential for growth.
Director's share sale raises concerns about confidence.