CBRE
CBRE GroupNYSEReal EstateReal Estate ServicesSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, CBRE has a composite score of 32.6 and a signal label of "favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 74.5 and reflects various factors, including a macro score of 26.3 and a sector score of 16.1. The analysis is provisional, indicating that the information may be subject to change.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.16
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.51 → $1.51 (+0.1% / 30d). 5 raised, 3 cut, 12 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 4 maintained. 92% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 22.5% above current price.
1 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
3 material events in the last 24 months — top 3 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase core EPS growthgrowthmixed62% progress
4/23: “2026 core EPS outlook raised to $7.60 to $7.80, reflecting more than 20% growth at midpoint.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. 2026 core EPS outlook raised to $7.60 to $7.80, reflecting more than 20% growth at midpoint. Revenue grew from $8.875B in 2025-Q1 to $10.527B in 2026-Q1. The trajectory shows delivering on EPS growth.
- 2.Generate EBITDA from digital servicesgrowthwatchprovisional
11/4: “CBRE expects to generate more than $350 million of Core EBITDA from digital and power infrastructure services in 2026.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. CBRE expects to generate more than $350 million of Core EBITDA from digital and power infrastructure services in 2026. Limited progress is visible in the financials as specific EBITDA figures for these services are not detailed.
- 3.Debt issuance for capital allocationcapital allocationmixed37% progress
5/4: “CBRE completed its offering of $750,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 5.250% Senior Notes due 2036.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q2. CBRE completed its offering of $750,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 5.250% Senior Notes due 2036. This issuance supports capital allocation initiatives, but the impact on financials is yet to be fully realized.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 26%; 252d 31%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −23%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLRE) — 1.06 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 49/100, drawdown 54/100, beta 94/100, earnings vol —.
via XLRE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase core EPS growth
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Focus on achieving significant growth in core EPS through strategic initiatives.
Behind →MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. 2026 core EPS outlook raised to $7.60 to $7.80, reflecting more than 20% growth at midpoint. Revenue grew from $8.875B in 2025-Q1 to $10.527B in 2026-Q1. The trajectory shows delivering on EPS growth.
62%CEO/CFO:“2026 core EPS outlook raised to $7.60 to $7.80, reflecting more than 20% growth at midpoint.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-23Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“2026 core EPS outlook raised to $7.60 to $7.80, reflecting more than 20% growth.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Expect to achieve 2026 Core EPS of $7.30 to $7.60 - reflecting 17% growth at the midpoint.”
- 2025-Q3Press release
“2025 Core EPS outlook increased to $6.25 to $6.35 from $6.10 to $6.20 previously.”
- #2
Generate EBITDA from digital services
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Aim to generate significant Core EBITDA from digital and power infrastructure services.
WatchNewly stated in 2025-Q4. CBRE expects to generate more than $350 million of Core EBITDA from digital and power infrastructure services in 2026. Limited progress is visible in the financials as specific EBITDA figures for these services are not detailed.
No scoreCEO/CFO:“CBRE expects to generate more than $350 million of Core EBITDA from digital and power infrastructure services in 2026.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2025-11-04Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (1)
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“CBRE expects to generate more than $350 million of Core EBITDA from digital and power infrastructure services in 2026.”
- #3
Debt issuance for capital allocation
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Utilize debt issuance to support strategic capital allocation initiatives.
MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q2. CBRE completed its offering of $750,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 5.250% Senior Notes due 2036. This issuance supports capital allocation initiatives, but the impact on financials is yet to be fully realized.
37%CEO/CFO:“CBRE completed its offering of $750,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 5.250% Senior Notes due 2036.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-04Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“CBRE completed its offering of $750,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 5.250% Senior Notes due 2036.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
67 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CBRE CBRE Group | +33 | fair | moderate |
WELL Welltower | +7.9 | expensive | low |
PLD Prologis | +10 | full | low |
EQIX Equinix | +22 | fair | moderate |
AMT American Tower | +18 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If real_estate sector trend rises from +0.00 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter EPS surprise repeats current direction (latest surprise +50.5% on 2026-03-31)+2.4 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently RAISED as of 2026-04-23)-16 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-8.0 pts
- If real_estate sector trend falls from +0.00 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-045d agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 4, 2026, CBRE Services, Inc. (“Services”), a Delaware corporation and wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company, completed its previously announced offering of $750,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 5.250% Senior Notes due 2036 (the “Notes”). The Notes are guaranteed on a full and unconditional basis by the Company. The Notes are governed by an Indenture, dated as of March 14, 2013 (the “Base Indenture”), among Services, the Company, certain…
capital allocationneutralscore 59 - 2026-04-2811d agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On April 27, 2026, the Company and CBRE Services, Inc. (“Services”), a Delaware corporation and wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company, entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, BofA Securities, Inc., Citigroup Global Markets Inc. and Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. on behalf of the several underwriters listed in Schedule A thereto, providing for the issuance and sale of $750,000,000 aggregate…
capital allocationneutralscore 51 - 2026-04-2316d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 23, 2026, the Company issued a press release reporting its financial results for the first quarter of 2026. A copy of this press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information contained herein, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 50 - 2026-05-045d agoItem 2.03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth above under
capital allocationnegativescore 46
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.