
CDW
CDW CorporationNASDAQInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, CDW has a composite score of 29.9 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a high confidence level of 80.2, but it faces challenges from an unfavorable momentum score of -2.6 and a sector score of 21.4. The analysis is provisional, reflecting recent changes in guidance and macroeconomic conditions.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.03
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Buyback / dividend activity on weakening fundamentals — historically a value-trap pattern (48% T+1y positive return vs 69% baseline in IT 2024-26).
Why this setup
EPS estimate $2.72 → $2.75 (+1.1% / 30d). 3 raised, 0 cut, 9 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 4 maintained. 55% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 25.9% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
5 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Exceed US IT market growth by 200-300 basis pointsgrowthbehind30% progress
5/6: “We remain confident in our ability to exceed US IT addressable market growth by 200 to 300 basis points.”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Revenue grew from $5.19B in 2025-Q1 to $5.68B in 2026-Q1, showing progress towards exceeding market growth. However, the specific basis point target achievement is not detailed, indicating persistent statement with limited substantive delivery evidence.
- 2.Maintain strong cash flow generationcapital allocationmixed35% progressprovisional
2/4: “Strong cash flow generation through growth and disciplined working capital management enabled flexibility across our capital priorities.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Cash from operating activities was $274.8M in 2026-Q1, down from $433.8M in 2025-Q4, indicating a decline in cash flow generation. The focus on cash flow is clear, but the recent quarter shows limited progress.
- 3.Return capital to shareholders via dividendscapital allocationmixed35% progress
5/6: “The Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.630 per common share.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.630 per share in both 2025-Q4 and 2026-Q1, showing consistent capital return to shareholders. This indicates a stable commitment to shareholder returns.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 75%; 252d 38%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −44%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLK) — 0.01 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 36/100, drawdown 12/100, beta 1/100, earnings vol —.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 0.0% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Exceed US IT market growth by 200-300 basis points
GrowthNew since 2026-05-06CDW aims to exceed US IT addressable market growth by 200 to 300 basis points on a constant currency basis.
BehindStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Revenue grew from $5.19B in 2025-Q1 to $5.68B in 2026-Q1, showing progress towards exceeding market growth. However, the specific basis point target achievement is not detailed, indicating persistent statement with limited substantive delivery evidence.
30%CEO/CFO:“We remain confident in our ability to exceed US IT addressable market growth by 200 to 300 basis points.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-06Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-06Show history (4)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We remain confident in our ability to exceed US IT addressable market growth by 200 to 300 basis points.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“For 2026, we continue to target exceeding US IT addressable market growth by 200 to 300 basis points.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“We continue to target exceeding US IT market growth by 200 to 300 basis points.”
- 2025-Q2Multiple sources
“We continue to target exceeding US IT market growth by 200 to 300 basis points.”
- #2
Maintain strong cash flow generation
Capital allocationCDW focuses on strong cash flow generation through growth and disciplined working capital management.
MixedNewly stated in 2025-Q4. Cash from operating activities was $274.8M in 2026-Q1, down from $433.8M in 2025-Q4, indicating a decline in cash flow generation. The focus on cash flow is clear, but the recent quarter shows limited progress.
Cash from operating activities was $274.8M in 2026-Q135%CEO/CFO:“Strong cash flow generation through growth and disciplined working capital management enabled flexibility across our capital priorities.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-04Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-04provisionalShow history (1)
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Strong cash flow generation through growth and disciplined working capital management enabled flexibility across our capital priorities.”
- #3
Return capital to shareholders via dividends
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-06CDW continues to return capital to shareholders through quarterly cash dividends.
MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.630 per share in both 2025-Q4 and 2026-Q1, showing consistent capital return to shareholders. This indicates a stable commitment to shareholder returns.
35%CEO/CFO:“The Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.630 per common share.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-06Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-06Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“The Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.630 per common share.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“The Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.630 per common share.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CDW CDW Corporation | +30 | inexpensive | elevated |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +20 | full | moderate |
AAPL Apple Inc | +19 | full | moderate |
MSFT Microsoft | +27 | fair | elevated |
AVGO Broadcom | +11 | expensive | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-06)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-06)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-062d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. CDW Corporation (the “Company”) is furnishing under cover of this Current Report on Form 8-K a copy of its press release dated May 6, 2026 announcing its first quarter 2026 financial results. The press release is attached to this report as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. The Company is furnishing this information in connection with its previously announced webcast conference call to be held on May 6, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET / 7:30…
earnings preannouncement—score 62 - 2026-05-062d agoItem 8.01
Other Events. Quarterly Cash Dividend On May 6, 2026, the Company also announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.630 per common share to be paid on June 10, 2026 to all stockholders of record as of the close of business on May 25, 2026. A copy of the press release announcing the declaration of the quarterly cash dividend is attached to this report as Exhibit 99.2 and incorporated herein by reference.
capital allocationneutralscore 49 - 2026-03-271mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 24, 2026, Sanjay Mehrotra informed CDW Corporation (the “Company”) that he will not stand for reelection at the Company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Mr. Mehrotra will continue to serve through the remainder of his current term. Mr. Mehrotra’s decision was not related to any disagreement with the Company on any matter relating to…
executive changeneutralscore 21 - 2026-02-043mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. CDW Corporation (the "Company") is furnishing under cover of this Current Report on Form 8-K a copy of its press release dated February 4, 2026 announcing its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results. The press release is attached to this report as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. The Company is furnishing this information in connection with its previously announced webcast conference call to be held on February 4, 20…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 8 - 2026-02-043mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. Quarterly Cash Dividend On February 4, 2026, the Company also announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.630 per common share to be paid on March 10, 2026 to all stockholders of record as of the close of business on February 25, 2026. A copy of the press release announcing the declaration of the quarterly cash dividend is attached to this report as Exhibit 99.2 and incorporated herein by reference.
capital allocationneutralscore 6
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.