CEMTREX INC (CETX)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$2.50-1.57%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CETX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -88.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 89.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 69 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CETX — capital allocation — Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities Since
Dated 2026-07-06
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities Since the effectiveness of the Company’s 1-for-10 reverse stock split on June 5, 2026, the Company has issued approximately 609,000 shares of its common stock in unregistered transactions. These issuances were made pursuant to private placements and other exempt transactions. As of July 2, 2026, the Company had approximately 1,721,141 shares of common stock outstanding.
Why it matters: Good acquisitions can help the company grow. They can also strengthen its market position.
Supportive ifA new deal adds over $10M in yearly revenue.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions announced by the next earnings date on August 13, 2026.
Why it matters: A growth rebound in the sector could help Cemtrex perform better.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up again, reaching over 4%.
Worry ifSector revenue growth slows down, staying below 4%.
Why it matters: The sector's growth phase impacts CETX's chances for making more money.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median, indicating a slowdown.
Less concerning ifIf sector revenue growth stays steady or improves, expansion will continue.
Why it matters: Cemtrex is focused on completing strategic acquisitions. Progress here can drive growth.
Supportive ifAnother acquisition could help Cemtrex grow its market or skills.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions announced in the next quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$340 on $10,000 · ±3.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,462 loss on $10,000 · 14.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,816 loss on $10,000 · 98.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Completing acquisitions can boost growth and validate management's strategy. It shows they are on track.
Supportive ifLook for news about more completed acquisitions that support growth.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions will be announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Cemtrex issued shares after a reverse stock split. This could affect future funding and growth.
Worry ifManagement shares a clear plan for using capital. This plan improves after issuing shares.
Less concerning ifNo clear plan for using capital is shown. More shares are issued without a strategy.
Why it matters: The company issued shares after a reverse stock split. This could impact future capital management.
Worry ifManagement will explain how they will use money after selling the shares.
Less concerning ifThere is no clear plan for capital allocation after the equity issuance.
Why it matters: Cemtrex operates in a growth sector. Changes can affect its business outlook.
Watch forSector revenue growth is above average and helps Cemtrex's performance.
Also watch forSector revenue growth falls below average, which may create challenges for Cemtrex.
Why it matters: Cemtrex signed a letter of intent for another acquisition. This shows they are growing.
Supportive ifThe new acquisition is done in the September quarter.
Worry ifThe new acquisition is not done in the September quarter.
Why it matters: Cemtrex's use of capital is mixed. Good management can boost financial health.
Watch forManagement has a clear plan. They will use money to help growth after the acquisition.
Also watch forOngoing sales of equity without a clear plan for using capital.
Why it matters: This acquisition could help Cemtrex grow and improve its market position.
Supportive ifA press release will confirm the Invocon acquisition is complete for $7,060,000.
Worry ifNo announcement of the acquisition completion by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Cemtrex signed an LOI for another acquisition. This could enhance growth and market reach.
Supportive ifThe company finishes the acquisition in the LOI by the end of September.
Worry ifThe acquisition is delayed or not completed by the end of September.
Why it matters: Cemtrex has signed an LOI for another acquisition. This shows their growth strategy is active.
Supportive ifThe acquisition is done and announced. It adds new capabilities or revenue.
Worry ifNo announcement of the acquisition by the end of the September quarter.
Why it matters: PES is expected to add $4 to $5 million in revenue. Meeting this target shows successful integration.
Supportive ifPES contributes $4 million or more in revenue within the next twelve months.
Worry ifPES contributes less than $4 million in revenue within the next twelve months.
Why it matters: AIS has shown strong growth. Continued growth is key to Cemtrex's overall performance.
Supportive ifAIS segment revenue grows year over year, exceeding $38 million.
Worry ifAIS segment revenue declines or stays below $38 million year over year.