CEMTREX INC (CETX)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-05
$0.78-21.37%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CETX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -88.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 89.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 24 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CETX — capital allocation — Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders
Dated 2026-10-09
Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders. The information set forth in
Why it matters: Management said it aimed to close another deal in that quarter. Closing would show it is still adding businesses.
Supportive ifA company filing or release confirms the LOI deal closed, with its price and business named.
Worry ifThe company says the LOI ended. Or, the September quarter ends without an update on closing.
Why it matters: AIS grew from about $21 million in 2022 to $38 million in 2025. Further growth would support its expansion plan.
Supportive ifA company report shows AIS revenue above $38 million for a full fiscal year.
Worry ifA company report shows AIS revenue at or below $38 million for a full fiscal year.
Why it matters: The company gave a $4 million to $5 million revenue estimate for PES. Results near or above that range would support the deal's growth case.
Supportive ifCemtrex reports at least $4 million in PES revenue for the first 12 months after closing.
Worry ifCemtrex reports PES revenue below $4 million for that 12-month period, or says PES is not profitable.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$234 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,566 loss on $10,000 · 15.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,889 loss on $10,000 · 98.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.