CHD
Church & DwightNYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, CHD has a mixed analyst signal with a composite score of 1.2 and a medium confidence level of 74.3. The score reflects various factors, including a macro score of 15.5 and a momentum score of -29.7. The top drivers influencing this score include macro labor, inflation, rates, and growth. This analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share0.97
- Slope (norm)-0.46
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.98 → $0.89 (-8.3% / 30d). 1 raised, 9 cut, 16 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 6 maintained. 45% of analysts rate Buy.
5 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 14.7% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
4 material events in the last 24 months — top 4 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase EPS by 18% to 22%growthbehind0% progress
5/1: “We continue to expect full-year reported EPS to increase approximately 18% to 22%.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Despite the stated EPS growth target, diluted EPS was 0.75 in 2025-Q4, down from 0.93 in 2025-Q1. The trajectory shows limited progress toward the target.
- 2.Maintain CAPEX at $130 millioncapital allocationmixed35% progress
5/1: “We continue to expect capital expenditures for the full year to be approximately $130 million or 2% of sales.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The company has consistently guided CAPEX to be around $130 million. However, the financials do not provide specific CAPEX figures, making it difficult to assess delivery.
- 3.Generate $1.15 billion cash from operationscapital allocationmixed35% progress
5/1: “We continue to expect approximately $1.15 billion of cash from operations this year.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company has reiterated its cash flow target, but the financials show negative cash from operations of -$411.1 million in 2024-Q4, indicating limited progress toward the goal.
Guidance track record
Last 5 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-31 | $0.75 | $0.85 | unclassifiable |
| 2024-06-30 | $0.81 – $0.83 | $0.93 | beat |
| 2025-06-30 | $0.85 | $0.94 | unclassifiable |
| 2025-09-30 | $0.72 | $0.81 | unclassifiable |
| 2026-03-31 | $0.92 | $0.95 | unclassifiable |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 22%; 252d 21%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −18%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLP) — 1.06 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 65/100, drawdown 65/100, beta 94/100, earnings vol —.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 13.4% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase EPS by 18% to 22%
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Church & Dwight aims to increase full-year reported EPS by 18% to 22% in 2026.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Despite the stated EPS growth target, diluted EPS was 0.75 in 2025-Q4, down from 0.93 in 2025-Q1. The trajectory shows limited progress toward the target.
0%CEO/CFO:“We continue to expect full-year reported EPS to increase approximately 18% to 22%.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-01Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We continue to expect full-year reported EPS to increase approximately 18% to 22%.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“We expect full-year reported EPS to increase approximately 18% to 22%.”
- #2
Maintain CAPEX at $130 million
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Church & Dwight plans to maintain capital expenditures at approximately $130 million for 2026.
Behind →MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The company has consistently guided CAPEX to be around $130 million. However, the financials do not provide specific CAPEX figures, making it difficult to assess delivery.
35%CEO/CFO:“We continue to expect capital expenditures for the full year to be approximately $130 million or 2% of sales.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-01Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We continue to expect capital expenditures for the full year to be approximately $130 million.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“We now expect 2025 capital expenditures of approximately $120 million.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“We still expect 2025 capital expenditures of approximately $130 million.”
- #3
Generate $1.15 billion cash from operations
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Church & Dwight aims to generate approximately $1.15 billion in cash from operations in 2026.
Behind →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company has reiterated its cash flow target, but the financials show negative cash from operations of -$411.1 million in 2024-Q4, indicating limited progress toward the goal.
35%CEO/CFO:“We continue to expect approximately $1.15 billion of cash from operations this year.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-01Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We continue to expect approximately $1.15 billion of cash from operations this year.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Cash flow from operations is expected to be approximately $1.15 billion.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CHD Church & Dwight | +1.2 | full | low |
WMT Walmart | -9.3 | expensive | low |
COST Costco | +3.9 | expensive | moderate |
PG Procter & Gamble | +15 | fair | low |
KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | +14 | full | low |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_staples sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-01)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-01)-8.0 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.2 pts
- If consumer_staples sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-017d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 1, 2026, Church & Dwight Co., Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, and providing additional information. This press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 pursuant to this
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 56 - 2026-01-303mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 30, 2026, Church & Dwight Co., Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, and providing additional information. This press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 pursuant to this
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 7 - 2025-12-095mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. As previously announced, the Company has conducted a strategic review of its vitamin, minerals and supplement (VMS) business. On December 9, 2025, the Company announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement to sell its VitaFusion® and L’il Critters® brands, including related trademarks, licenses, and manufacturing and distribution facilities in Vancouver and Ridgefield, Washington. The transaction is expected to close before year-end, subject to customary closing condi…
product or strategy shiftneutralscore 2
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.