Ciena (CIEN)
NYSEInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-07-07
$418.94-3.43%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Track CIEN free→Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Communications Equipment is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 33% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskCiena's revenue growth has to keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue grew 40% year over year, and the last quarter beat expectations. It trades at 13× price-to-sales versus a 3.6× peer median. The price reflects less growth than we forecast. If Ciena cuts guidance after recently raising it, that could hurt credibility. Peer multiples imply a price about 44% below where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-07. CIEN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 21 analysts currently covering CIEN (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for CIEN in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $418.94. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Communications Equipment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Increase revenue guidance for FY 2026
Multi-year backlog supports revenue growth for FY 2026.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-07. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $418.94
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $418.94.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Concerns over order backlog could impact growth.
Acquisition enhances product portfolio, supports growth.
Collaboration on data transport supports growth objectives.
Decline in revenues raises concerns about future guidance.
New contract with Verizon supports revenue growth.