CMCSA
ComcastNASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecom ServicesSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, CMCSA has a composite score of 19.1, categorized as "mild favorable." The score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 63.7 and a moderate risk label, with strengths in management (72.6) and valuation (70.0), while momentum is notably weak at -27.8. The analysis is provisional and reflects various macroeconomic factors as top drivers.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.00
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.04 → $0.98 (-6.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 13 cut, 18 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 27% of analysts rate Buy.
5 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 8.9% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
3 material events in the last 24 months — top 3 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Invest in core growth businessesgrowthmixed65% progress
4/23: “We continued to lean into investments across our core growth businesses.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 4 quarters. Revenue grew from $30.3B in 2025-Q2 to $32.2B in 2025-Q4, indicating some progress. However, the focus on core growth businesses has been persistent, with limited substantive delivery this quarter.
- 2.Maintain strong balance sheetcapital allocationmixed35% progressprovisional
1/29: “We maintained a strong balance sheet.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Despite the commitment to maintaining a strong balance sheet, net income fell from $3.3B in 2025-Q3 to -$2.1B in 2025-Q4, indicating financial challenges. The trajectory shows limited progress in strengthening the balance sheet.
- 3.Return capital to shareholderscapital allocationmixed35% progress
4/23: “Returned $2.5 billion to shareholders this quarter.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Comcast returned $2.5B to shareholders in 2026-Q1, reflecting a focus on capital return. However, the overall financial performance, with net income declining, suggests limited progress in enhancing shareholder value.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 52%; 252d 29%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −26%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLC) — 0.86 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 51/100, drawdown 49/100, beta 86/100, earnings vol —.
via XLC
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 0% of the last 1 guided quarters · -22.2% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Invest in core growth businesses
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Focus on investments across core growth businesses to drive future growth.
On track →MixedStated in 2 of last 4 quarters. Revenue grew from $30.3B in 2025-Q2 to $32.2B in 2025-Q4, indicating some progress. However, the focus on core growth businesses has been persistent, with limited substantive delivery this quarter.
65%CEO/CFO:“We continued to lean into investments across our core growth businesses.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-23Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“We continued to lean into investments across our core growth businesses.”
- 2025-Q2Earnings call
“Investing in our six growth businesses.”
- #2
Maintain strong balance sheet
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Commitment to maintaining a strong balance sheet despite financial challenges.
Behind →MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q1. Despite the commitment to maintaining a strong balance sheet, net income fell from $3.3B in 2025-Q3 to -$2.1B in 2025-Q4, indicating financial challenges. The trajectory shows limited progress in strengthening the balance sheet.
35%CEO/CFO:“We maintained a strong balance sheet.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-01-29Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (1)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“We maintained a strong balance sheet.”
- #3
Return capital to shareholders
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Focus on returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
Behind →MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q1. Comcast returned $2.5B to shareholders in 2026-Q1, reflecting a focus on capital return. However, the overall financial performance, with net income declining, suggests limited progress in enhancing shareholder value.
35%CEO/CFO:“Returned $2.5 billion to shareholders this quarter.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-23Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“Returned $2.5 billion to shareholders this quarter.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CMCSA Comcast | +19 | inexpensive | moderate |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A) | +31 | fair | moderate |
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C) | +32 | fair | moderate |
META Meta Platforms | +30 | inexpensive | elevated |
NFLX Netflix | +23 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If communication_services sector trend rises from +0.06 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-23)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-23)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-5.8 pts
- If communication_services sector trend falls from +0.06 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2315d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 23, 2026, Comcast Corporation (“Comcast”) issued a press release reporting the results of its operations for the three months ended March 31, 2026. The press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. Exhibit 99.2 sets forth the reasons Comcast believes that presentation of the non-GAAP financial measures contained in the press release provides useful information to investors regarding Comcast's results of operations and financial condit…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 46 - 2026-02-272mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. In connection with the previously reported appointment of Gordon Smith as a director of Comcast Corporation on February 4, 2026, Comcast’s Board of Directors on February 25, 2026 appointed Mr. Smith to serve on the Audit Committee of the Board. Item 9.01(d). Exhibits. Exhibit Number Description 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within…
executive changeneutralscore 11 - 2026-01-293mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On January 29, 2026, Comcast Corporation (“Comcast”) issued a press release reporting the results of its operations for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2025. The press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. Exhibit 99.2 sets forth the reasons Comcast believes that presentation of the non-GAAP financial measures contained in the press release provides useful information to investors regarding Comcast's results of operations and…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 7 - 2025-12-234mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On December 19, 2025, Comcast Corporation (the “Company”) entered into a new employment agreement (the “Agreement”) with Michael J. Cavanagh in connection with his upcoming appointment as Co-Chief Executive Officer of the Company on January 2, 2026. The Agreement secures Mr. Cavanagh’s employment through January 1, 2029. Under the terms of the Agre…
executive changeneutralscore 3 - 2025-12-154mo agoItem 3.02
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. The information set forth in
capital allocationnegativescore 2
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.