CNP
CenterPoint EnergyNYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, CNP has a mixed analyst signal with a composite score of 2.9 and a medium confidence level of 75.4. The score is influenced by various factors, including a potential unfavorable scenario if next-quarter guidance is cut, and a favorable scenario if the utilities sector trend improves. The top drivers affecting the score include macroeconomic factors such as rates, labor, inflation, and growth. This analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.08
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.38 → $0.38 (-1.2% / 30d). 4 raised, 3 cut, 11 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 47% of analysts rate Buy.
4 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 8.2% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
No recent events recorded.
Stated priorities
2 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Reiterate full-year 2026 EPS guidancegrowthmixed65% progress
4/23: “CenterPoint Energy...reiterates full-year 2026 guidance;...guidance range of at least the midpoint of $1.89-$1.91.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The company has consistently reiterated its full-year 2026 EPS guidance range of $1.89-$1.91. Despite the reiteration, the financials show a mixed trajectory with net income fluctuating from $293M in 2025-Q3 to $178M in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress towards achieving the guidance.
- 2.Maintain 9% EPS growth rate for 2025growthwatchprovisional
10/21: “Company reiterates its recently increased non-GAAP EPS growth rate of 9% in 2025.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2025-Q3. The company set a target for a 9% EPS growth rate for 2025. However, the financials show net income decreased from $293M in 2025-Q3 to $178M in 2025-Q4, suggesting limited progress in achieving the stated growth rate.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 19%; 252d 16%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −7%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLU) — 0.04 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 74/100, drawdown 87/100, beta 4/100, earnings vol —.
via XLU
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Reiterate full-year 2026 EPS guidance
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04CenterPoint Energy continues to emphasize its full-year 2026 EPS guidance range of $1.89-$1.91.
On track →MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The company has consistently reiterated its full-year 2026 EPS guidance range of $1.89-$1.91. Despite the reiteration, the financials show a mixed trajectory with net income fluctuating from $293M in 2025-Q3 to $178M in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress towards achieving the guidance.
65%CEO/CFO:“CenterPoint Energy...reiterates full-year 2026 guidance;...guidance range of at least the midpoint of $1.89-$1.91.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-23Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“CenterPoint Energy...reiterates full-year 2026 guidance;...guidance range of at least the midpoint of $1.89-$1.91.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Reiterates 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance range of at least the midpoint of $1.89-$1.91.”
- 2025-Q3Press release
“Reiterates its 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance range of at least the midpoint of $1.89-$1.91.”
- #2
Maintain 9% EPS growth rate for 2025
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04CenterPoint Energy aims to maintain a 9% EPS growth rate for the fiscal year 2025.
WatchNewly stated in 2025-Q3. The company set a target for a 9% EPS growth rate for 2025. However, the financials show net income decreased from $293M in 2025-Q3 to $178M in 2025-Q4, suggesting limited progress in achieving the stated growth rate.
No scoreCEO/CFO:“Company reiterates its recently increased non-GAAP EPS growth rate of 9% in 2025.”Press releaseSource dated 2025-10-21Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (1)
- 2025-Q3Press release
“Company reiterates its recently increased non-GAAP EPS growth rate of 9% in 2025.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
47 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CNP CenterPoint Energy | +2.9 | full | moderate |
NEE NextEra Energy | +19 | full | moderate |
CEG Constellation Energy | +16 | full | elevated |
SO Southern Company | +19 | fair | moderate |
DUK Duke Energy | +28 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If utilities sector trend rises from -0.04 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-04-23)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-04-23)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If utilities sector trend falls from -0.04 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2316d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Conditions. On April 23, 2026, CenterPoint Energy, Inc. (“CenterPoint Energy”) reported first quarter 2026 earnings. For additional information regarding CenterPoint Energy’s first quarter 2026 earnings, please refer to CenterPoint Energy’s press release attached to this report as Exhibit 99.1 (the “Press Release”), which Press Release is incorporated by reference herein.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 46
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.