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COR

Cencora

NYSEHealth CareMedical DistributionSnapshot 2026-05-08

$261.08+2.12%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, COR has a composite score of 26.5 and a signal label of "mild_favorable." This change reflects a decrease in the valuation score, which fell by 13.1 points to 69.0, resulting in a shift in the valuation label from "inexpensive" to "fair." The current analysis is provisional.

Composite +27as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
neutral
Mid-cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    -0.04
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
55386848760
F2 · Value
neutral
Mid-cohort by earnings yield
Why this rank
Price
$261.08
TTM EPS
$10.98
Earnings yield
4.2%
P/E (TTM)
23.8

Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1

F3 · Earnings quality
robust
Top 20% cash conversion in health care cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
1,580
TTM CFO ($M)
3,898
CFO/NI
2.47
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
volatile
Bottom 30% activity in health care cohort· see deep-dive ↓
neutral
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
neutral11 analysts, 79% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $4.32 → $4.36 (+1.0% / 30d). 1 raised, 2 cut, 11 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 79% of analysts rate Buy.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Increase EPS guidance for fiscal 2026growthmixed65% progress
    5/6: Adjusted diluted EPS guidance has been raised to a range of $17.65 to $17.90.
    Why this status

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EPS guidance increased from $17.45-$17.75 to $17.65-$17.90 for fiscal 2026. Revenue grew from $63.39B in 2025-Q4 to $85.93B in 2026-Q1, supporting the upward revision. The trajectory is delivering on the guidance increase.

  2. 2.Complete OneOncology acquisitiongrowthmixed65% progressprovisional
    2/4: The Company acquired the majority of the outstanding equity interests in OneOncology for $4.6 billion.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The acquisition of OneOncology for $4.6 billion was completed, aiming to strengthen Cencora's oncology platform. This strategic move is expected to contribute to long-term growth, as indicated by the raised EPS guidance.

  3. 3.Raise operating income guidancegrowthmixed65% progressprovisional
    2/4: Adjusted operating income guidance has been raised to growth of 11.5% to 13.5%.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Operating income guidance was raised to 11.5%-13.5% growth. Operating income increased from $48.08M in 2025-Q4 to $760.45M in 2026-Q1, indicating progress towards the guidance. The trajectory is delivering on the raised expectations.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −32%, typical day ±1.1%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 60%; 252d 31%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −32%. Bad day move −3%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLV) 0.44 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 49/100, drawdown 35/100, beta 44/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-15.1%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLV

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. label change · signal_label
    severity 30

    Signal changed from 'favorable' to 'mild_favorable'.

  2. score change · valuation_score
    severity 26

    Valuation fell by 13.1 points (from 82.1 to 69.0).

  3. label change · valuation_label
    severity 20

    Valuation label changed from 'inexpensive' to 'fair'.

As of May 8, 2026, the signal label for COR changed from 'favorable' to 'mild_favorable'. The valuation score fell by 13.1 points, changing from 82.1 to 69.0, and the valuation label changed from 'inexpensive' to 'fair'. These changes indicate a downward shift in both the signal and valuation metrics. The overall situation is marked as provisional.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite72.8 / 100
Capital allocation76
Earnings discipline69
Margin discipline72
Balance sheet83
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction52
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Increase EPS guidance for fiscal 2026

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-06

    Cencora has raised its adjusted diluted EPS guidance for fiscal 2026.

    Mixed

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EPS guidance increased from $17.45-$17.75 to $17.65-$17.90 for fiscal 2026. Revenue grew from $63.39B in 2025-Q4 to $85.93B in 2026-Q1, supporting the upward revision. The trajectory is delivering on the guidance increase.

    65%
    CEO/CFO:Adjusted diluted EPS guidance has been raised to a range of $17.65 to $17.90.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-06Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-06
    Show history (3)
    • 2026-Q2Multiple sources

      Adjusted diluted EPS guidance has been raised to a range of $17.65 to $17.90.

    • 2026-Q1Multiple sources

      Cencora is reaffirming its full fiscal 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance range.

    • 2025-Q4Multiple sources

      Cencora is also reaffirming its previously issued adjusted diluted EPS guidance range of $17.45 to $17.75.

  • #2

    Complete OneOncology acquisition

    Growth

    Cencora completed the acquisition of OneOncology to enhance its oncology platform.

    Mixed

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The acquisition of OneOncology for $4.6 billion was completed, aiming to strengthen Cencora's oncology platform. This strategic move is expected to contribute to long-term growth, as indicated by the raised EPS guidance.

    Acquisition of OneOncology for $4.6 billion completed
    65%
    CEO/CFO:The Company acquired the majority of the outstanding equity interests in OneOncology for $4.6 billion.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-04Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-04provisional
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q1Multiple sources

      The Company acquired the majority of the outstanding equity interests in OneOncology for $4.6 billion.

  • #3

    Raise operating income guidance

    Growth

    Cencora has increased its adjusted operating income growth guidance for fiscal 2026.

    Mixed

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Operating income guidance was raised to 11.5%-13.5% growth. Operating income increased from $48.08M in 2025-Q4 to $760.45M in 2026-Q1, indicating progress towards the guidance. The trajectory is delivering on the raised expectations.

    65%
    CEO/CFO:Adjusted operating income guidance has been raised to growth of 11.5% to 13.5%.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-04Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-04provisional
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q1Multiple sources

      Adjusted operating income guidance has been raised to growth of 11.5% to 13.5%.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
64higher = cheaper

Roughly priced in line with peers.

Compared to its own history
96higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
15.3x
EV/EBITDA
FCF yield
3.1%

P/E over the last 5 years

41 monthly points
fairas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
COR
Cencora
+27fairmoderate
LLY
Lilly (Eli)
+21fullmoderate
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
+18fulllow
ABBV
AbbVie
+12fairlow
UNH
UnitedHealth Group
+24fairelevated
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.1%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.6%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-32.5%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If health_care sector trend rises from +0.06 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently RAISED as of 2026-05-06)-16 pts
  • If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.8 pts
  • If health_care sector trend falls from +0.06 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-2.9 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-05-062d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026, Cencora, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a news release announcing the Company’s earnings for the fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the news release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Current Report, including the exhibit attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and the information under

    earnings preannouncementscore 62
  2. 2026-03-171mo agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 17, 2026, Cencora, Inc. (the “Company”) announced that James F. Cleary will retire as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company effective June 30, 2026. Mr. Cleary’s decision to retire from his position was not the result of a disagreement on any matter related to the Company’s operations, policies or practices.

    executive changeneutralscore 24
  3. 2026-02-132mo agoItem 1.01

    Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On February 13, 2026, Cencora, Inc. (the “Company”) completed the sale of $3.0 billion aggregate principal amount of the Company’s Senior Notes as follows: $500,000,000 aggregate principal amount of the Company’s 3.950% Senior Notes due 2029 (the “2029 Notes”), $500,000,000 aggregate principal amount of the Company’s 4.250% Senior Notes due 2030 (the “2030 Notes”), $500,000,000 aggregate principal amount of the Company’s 4.600% Senior Notes due 2033…

    capital allocationneutralscore 9
  4. 2026-02-043mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 4, 2026 Cencora, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a news release announcing the Company’s earnings for the fiscal quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the news release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Current Report, including the exhibit attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and the information under

    earnings preannouncementnegativescore 9
  5. 2026-02-132mo agoItem 2.03

    Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth in

    capital allocationnegativescore 7
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-04 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.