CTVA
CortevaNYSEMaterialsAgricultural InputsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, CTVA has a composite score of 11.7, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 72.7 and reflects various factors, including macroeconomic conditions and sector trends. The top drivers impacting the score include macro growth, inflation, labor, and rates. The assessment is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share0.39
- Slope (norm)-0.67
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $2.32 → $2.32 (-0.0% / 30d). 3 raised, 2 cut, 13 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 6 maintained. 68% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 12.7% above current price.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
2 material events in the last 24 months — top 2 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Focus on Crop Protection Revenue Growthgrowthwatchprovisional
11/5: “CEO: 'We are committed to expanding our Crop Protection segment to drive revenue growth.'”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Crop Protection revenue grew from $7,363M in 2024 to $7,503M in 2025, indicating progress in this strategic focus area. The trajectory shows delivering on management's growth commitment.
- 2.Enhance Seed Segment Performancegrowthwatchprovisional
8/7: “CEO: 'We are implementing strategies to enhance our Seed segment performance.'”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 3 quarters. Seed segment revenue increased from $9,545M in 2024 to $9,898M in 2025, reflecting management's focus on enhancing performance. The trajectory indicates progress in this strategic area.
- 3.Maintain Cost Disciplinecostwatchprovisional
5/8: “CFO: 'We continue to focus on cost discipline to enhance our financial results.'”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 3 quarters. Despite management's focus on cost discipline, operating income showed volatility, with a loss of $641M in 2025-Q4 compared to a profit of $1804M in 2025-Q2. The trajectory shows limited progress in achieving consistent cost control.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 23%; 252d 23%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −21%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLB) — 0.04 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 62/100, drawdown 59/100, beta 4/100, earnings vol —.
via XLB
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Focus on Crop Protection Revenue Growth
GrowthManagement aims to drive growth in the Crop Protection segment through strategic initiatives.
WatchStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Crop Protection revenue grew from $7,363M in 2024 to $7,503M in 2025, indicating progress in this strategic focus area. The trajectory shows delivering on management's growth commitment.
No scoreCEO/CFO:“CEO: 'We are committed to expanding our Crop Protection segment to drive revenue growth.'”Earnings callSource dated 2025-11-05Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2025-11-05provisionalShow history (3)
- 2025-Q4Earnings call
“CEO: 'We are committed to expanding our Crop Protection segment to drive revenue growth.'”
- 2025-Q3Earnings call
“CEO: 'Crop Protection remains a key focus for revenue expansion.'”
- 2025-Q2Earnings call
“CEO: 'We see significant growth potential in Crop Protection.'”
- #2
Enhance Seed Segment Performance
GrowthManagement is focused on improving performance in the Seed segment through targeted strategies.
WatchStated in 2 of last 3 quarters. Seed segment revenue increased from $9,545M in 2024 to $9,898M in 2025, reflecting management's focus on enhancing performance. The trajectory indicates progress in this strategic area.
No scoreCEO/CFO:“CEO: 'We are implementing strategies to enhance our Seed segment performance.'”Earnings callSource dated 2025-08-07Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2025-08-07provisionalShow history (2)
- 2025-Q3Earnings call
“CEO: 'We are implementing strategies to enhance our Seed segment performance.'”
- 2025-Q2Earnings call
“CEO: 'Seed segment performance is a priority for us.'”
- #3
Maintain Cost Discipline
CostManagement is committed to maintaining cost discipline to improve financial performance.
WatchStated in 2 of last 3 quarters. Despite management's focus on cost discipline, operating income showed volatility, with a loss of $641M in 2025-Q4 compared to a profit of $1804M in 2025-Q2. The trajectory shows limited progress in achieving consistent cost control.
No scoreCEO/CFO:“CFO: 'We continue to focus on cost discipline to enhance our financial results.'”Earnings callSource dated 2025-05-08Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2025-05-08provisionalShow history (2)
- 2025-Q2Earnings call
“CFO: 'We continue to focus on cost discipline to enhance our financial results.'”
- 2025-Q1Earnings call
“CFO: 'Cost discipline remains a key focus for us.'”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CTVA Corteva | +12 | inexpensive | moderate |
LIN Linde plc | +24 | inexpensive | moderate |
NEM Newmont | +17 | inexpensive | elevated |
FCX Freeport-McMoRan | +6.4 | — | elevated |
SHW Sherwin-Williams | +18 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If materials sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2025-10-01)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2025-10-01)-8.0 pts
- If materials sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-3.5 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-053d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On May 5, 2026, Corteva, Inc. (the “Company”) announced its consolidated financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the Company’s press release and financial statement schedules are furnished herewith on Form 8-K as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, respectively. The information contained in this report, including Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Ex…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 68 - 2026-04-1424d agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers Corteva, Inc. (the “Company”) previously announced on October 1, 2025 its intent to separate its seed business (“SpinCo”) from its remaining crop protection business (“New Corteva”) into two independent, publicly traded companies through a tax-free spin-off (the “spin-off). On April 14, 2026, Corteva, Inc. (the “Company”) announced in a series of pr…
executive changeneutralscore 46 - 2026-02-033mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On February 3, 2026, Corteva, Inc. (the "Company") announced its consolidated financial results for the quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the Company’s press release and financial statement schedules are furnished herewith on Form 8-K as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, respectively. The information contained in this report, including Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 1…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 8
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.