D
Dominion EnergyNYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, the analyst scoring for D indicates a composite score of 21.9 with a signal label of "mild favorable." The valuation label has changed from "inexpensive" to "fair," reflecting a severity score of 20.0. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as rates, labor, inflation, and growth, with a high confidence level of 84.3.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share0.99
- Slope (norm)-0.28
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.88 → $0.85 (-3.8% / 30d). 2 raised, 6 cut, 14 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 4 maintained. 14% of analysts rate Buy.
5 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 6.7% above current price.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
No recent events recorded.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Affirm 2026 EPS guidancegrowthbehind14% progress
5/1: “The company affirms its full-year 2026 operating earnings guidance range of $3.45 to $3.69 per share.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company has consistently affirmed its full-year 2026 EPS guidance range of $3.45 to $3.69 per share. Despite a net income loss of $173M in 2025-Q4, the company remains committed to this guidance, indicating a focus on achieving these targets. The trajectory shows persistent affirmation but financial results suggest challenges ahead.
- 2.Narrow 2025 EPS guidancegrowthwatchprovisional
10/31: “The company narrowed its existing 2025 operating earnings guidance range to $3.33 to $3.48 per share.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The company narrowed its 2025 EPS guidance to $3.33 to $3.48 per share, maintaining the midpoint of $3.40. Despite a revenue decline from $4.53B in 2025-Q3 to $2.49B in 2025-Q4, the guidance adjustment reflects a cautious approach. The trajectory shows a focus on precision amid fluctuating financials.
- 3.Affirm 2025 EPS guidancegrowthwatchprovisional
8/1: “Not mentioned in most recent disclosures.”
Guidance track record
Last 7 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-31 | $1.10 – $1.25 | $1.18 | inside |
| 2022-06-30 | $0.70 – $0.80 | $0.77 | inside |
| 2022-09-30 | $0.98 – $1.13 | $1.11 | inside |
| 2023-03-31 | $0.97 – $1.12 | $0.99 | inside |
| 2023-06-30 | $0.58 – $0.68 | $0.53 | miss |
| 2023-09-30 | $0.72 – $0.87 | $0.77 | inside |
| 2023-12-31 | $0.35 | $0.29 | miss |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 20%; 252d 19%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −10%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLU) — 0.05 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 69/100, drawdown 80/100, beta 5/100, earnings vol —.
via XLU
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- label change · valuation_labelseverity 20
Valuation label changed from 'inexpensive' to 'fair'.
As of 2026-05-08, the valuation label for D changed from "inexpensive" to "fair." This reflects a label change with a severity score of 20.0. Additionally, the forward view indicates an unfavorable direction for the composite delta estimate of -8.0 due to a potential guidance cut, while there are also favorable scenarios, such as a potential sector trend improvement with a composite delta estimate of 5.0.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 43% of the last 7 guided quarters · -4.7% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Affirm 2026 EPS guidance
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Maintain the full-year 2026 operating earnings guidance range of $3.45 to $3.69 per share.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company has consistently affirmed its full-year 2026 EPS guidance range of $3.45 to $3.69 per share. Despite a net income loss of $173M in 2025-Q4, the company remains committed to this guidance, indicating a focus on achieving these targets. The trajectory shows persistent affirmation but financial results suggest challenges ahead.
14%CEO/CFO:“The company affirms its full-year 2026 operating earnings guidance range of $3.45 to $3.69 per share.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-01Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Company affirms its full-year 2026 operating earnings guidance range of $3.45 to $3.69 per share.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Company announces full-year 2026 operating earnings guidance range of $3.45 to $3.69 per share.”
- #2
Narrow 2025 EPS guidance
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Adjust the 2025 operating earnings guidance range to $3.33 to $3.48 per share.
WatchStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The company narrowed its 2025 EPS guidance to $3.33 to $3.48 per share, maintaining the midpoint of $3.40. Despite a revenue decline from $4.53B in 2025-Q3 to $2.49B in 2025-Q4, the guidance adjustment reflects a cautious approach. The trajectory shows a focus on precision amid fluctuating financials.
No scoreCEO/CFO:“The company narrowed its existing 2025 operating earnings guidance range to $3.33 to $3.48 per share.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2025-10-31Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (3)
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“Company narrowed its existing 2025 operating earnings guidance range to $3.33 to $3.48 per share.”
- 2025-Q2Multiple sources
“Company affirms its full-year 2025 operating earnings guidance range of $3.28 to $3.52 per share.”
- 2025-Q1Multiple sources
“Company affirms its full-year 2025 operating earnings guidance range of $3.28 to $3.52 per share.”
- #3
Affirm 2025 EPS guidance
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04The company affirms its full-year 2025 operating earnings guidance range of $3.28 to $3.52 per share.
WatchNo scoreCEO/CFO:“Not mentioned in most recent disclosures.”8-KSource dated 2025-08-01First seen 2026-05-04provisional
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
53 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
D Dominion Energy | +22 | fair | moderate |
NEE NextEra Energy | +19 | full | moderate |
CEG Constellation Energy | +16 | full | elevated |
SO Southern Company | +19 | fair | moderate |
DUK Duke Energy | +28 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If utilities sector trend rises from -0.04 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-05-01)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-05-01)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If utilities sector trend falls from -0.04 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-018d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 1, 2026, Dominion Energy, Inc. issued a press release announcing preliminary unaudited earnings for the three months ended March 31, 2026. The press release and related preliminary earnings tables are furnished with this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 60
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.