DASH
DoorDashNASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryInternet RetailSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, DASH has a composite score of 5.8, indicating a mixed signal. The score reflects medium confidence at 72.2, with elevated market risk at 72.3. Key drivers include macro factors such as growth, rates, inflation, and labor, alongside potential changes in guidance and sector trends. This assessment is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share-0.04
- Slope (norm)-0.42
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.48 → $0.46 (-3.6% / 30d). 0 raised, 4 cut, 29 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 11 maintained. 78% of analysts rate Buy.
7 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 55.3% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
1 material event in the last 24 months — top 1 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase Adjusted EBITDAgrowthbehind0% progress
5/6: “For Q2 2026, we anticipate Adjusted EBITDA to be $770 million - $870 million.”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 2026 is $770 million - $870 million, showing a consistent focus on growth. Previous quarters have shown varied results, with Q3 2025 achieving $680 million - $780 million. The trajectory indicates a persistent focus on increasing profitability, though financials show mixed results with net income fluctuating.
- 2.Deliveroo Contribution to Adjusted EBITDAgrowthbehind0% progress
2/18: “We continue to expect Deliveroo to contribute approximately $200 million to our Adjusted EBITDA in 2026.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Deliveroo is expected to contribute $200 million to Adjusted EBITDA in 2026. This strategic focus on leveraging Deliveroo's operations is aimed at enhancing overall profitability. However, the financials for 2025-Q4 show a net income of -$424 million, indicating challenges in achieving profitability.
- 3.Marketplace GOV Growthgrowthbehind0% progress
2/18: “In Q1 2026, we expect Marketplace GOV within our guided range of $31.0 billion - $31.8 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 4 quarters. Marketplace GOV guidance for Q1 2026 is $31.0 billion - $31.8 billion, indicating a focus on expanding order volume. Previous guidance for Q2 2025 was $23.3 billion - $23.7 billion, showing growth in targets. Despite this focus, financials show a net income decline in 2025-Q4, suggesting challenges in translating GOV growth into profitability.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 49%; 252d 44%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −48%. Bad day move −4%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLY) — 0.04 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 27/100, drawdown 4/100, beta 4/100, earnings vol —.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase Adjusted EBITDA
GrowthNew since 2026-05-06Focus on increasing Adjusted EBITDA with specific quarterly targets.
BehindStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 2026 is $770 million - $870 million, showing a consistent focus on growth. Previous quarters have shown varied results, with Q3 2025 achieving $680 million - $780 million. The trajectory indicates a persistent focus on increasing profitability, though financials show mixed results with net income fluctuating.
0%CEO/CFO:“For Q2 2026, we anticipate Adjusted EBITDA to be $770 million - $870 million.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-06Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-06Show history (4)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Our current expectation for Adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2026 is $675 million - $775 million.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Based on our current outlook, we expect Adjusted EBITDA Q4 2025 $710 million - $810 million.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“we expect: Adjusted EBITDA Q3 2025 $680 million - $780 million”
- 2025-Q2Multiple sources
“In Q2 2025, we currently expect Adjusted EBITDA to be $600 million - $650 million”
- #2
Deliveroo Contribution to Adjusted EBITDA
GrowthExpect Deliveroo to contribute significantly to Adjusted EBITDA in 2026.
BehindNewly stated in 2025-Q4. Deliveroo is expected to contribute $200 million to Adjusted EBITDA in 2026. This strategic focus on leveraging Deliveroo's operations is aimed at enhancing overall profitability. However, the financials for 2025-Q4 show a net income of -$424 million, indicating challenges in achieving profitability.
0%CEO/CFO:“We continue to expect Deliveroo to contribute approximately $200 million to our Adjusted EBITDA in 2026.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-18Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-18Show history (1)
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“We continue to expect Deliveroo to contribute approximately $200 million to our Adjusted EBITDA in 2026.”
- #3
Marketplace GOV Growth
GrowthAim to grow Marketplace Gross Order Value (GOV) with specific quarterly targets.
BehindStated in 2 of last 4 quarters. Marketplace GOV guidance for Q1 2026 is $31.0 billion - $31.8 billion, indicating a focus on expanding order volume. Previous guidance for Q2 2025 was $23.3 billion - $23.7 billion, showing growth in targets. Despite this focus, financials show a net income decline in 2025-Q4, suggesting challenges in translating GOV growth into profitability.
0%CEO/CFO:“In Q1 2026, we expect Marketplace GOV within our guided range of $31.0 billion - $31.8 billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-18Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-18Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“In Q1 2026, we expect Marketplace GOV within our guided range of $31.0 billion - $31.8 billion.”
- 2025-Q2Multiple sources
“In Q2 2025, we currently expect Marketplace GOV to be $23.3 billion - $23.7 billion”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
26 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
DASH DoorDash | +5.8 | full | elevated |
AMZN Amazon | +16 | full | moderate |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | +0.4 | expensive | elevated |
HD Home Depot (The) | +14 | full | moderate |
CVNA Carvana | +14 | — | high |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_discretionary sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-06)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-06)-8.0 pts
- If consumer_discretionary sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-062d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026 , DoorDash, Inc. ("DoorDash") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
earnings preannouncement—score 63 - 2026-02-182mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 18, 2026 , DoorDash, Inc. ("DoorDash") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. DoorDash also issued a Letter to Shareholders to provide additional information about DoorDash and its performance. Copies of the press release and Letter to Shareholders are attached as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, to this Current Report on Form 8-K and are incorporated…
earnings preannouncementnegativescore 13 - 2026-01-203mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Director Appointment On January 16, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “ Board ”) of DoorDash, Inc. (the “ Company ”), upon the recommendation of its Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee, approved an increase in the size of the Board to eleven (11) members and elected Milan Kovac as a member of the Board. Mr. Kovac will serve as a Class III…
executive changeneutralscore 5
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.