DDOG
DatadogNASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, DDOG has a composite score of 7.3 and a signal label of "mixed." This change is driven by a decline in guidance credibility, which fell to 75.0, and a drop in management score to 47.9 following fresh earnings. Additionally, the valuation label changed from "fair" to "full," indicating a shift in perceived value.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share-0.70
- Slope (norm)0.60
- Bonus0.20
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.50 → $0.50 (+0.3% / 30d). 3 raised, 0 cut, 36 covering analysts.
1 upgrade, 0 downgrades / 30d, 20 maintained. 92% of analysts rate Buy.
21 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 23.3% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
4 material events in the last 24 months — top 4 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase revenue to $4.30-$4.34 billiongrowthmixed65% progress
5/7: “Full Year 2026 Outlook: Revenue between $4.30 billion and $4.34 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue was $953 million in 2025-Q4. Revenue guidance increased from $4.06-$4.10 billion to $4.30-$4.34 billion for 2026, indicating a focus on growth. The trajectory shows an upward revision in revenue targets, suggesting progress towards achieving higher revenue.
- 2.Achieve non-GAAP EPS of $2.36-$2.44growthmixed65% progress
5/7: “Non-GAAP net income per share between $2.36 and $2.44.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Non-GAAP EPS guidance increased from $2.08-$2.16 to $2.36-$2.44 for 2026, reflecting an upward revision in earnings expectations. This suggests a positive trajectory towards achieving higher profitability.
- 3.Redomicile to Nevadacapital allocationmixed35% progress
4/22: “Stockholders approved a proposal to redomicile the Company to Nevada.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q2. The redomiciliation to Nevada was approved by stockholders, indicating progress in capital allocation strategy. This move is expected to align with strategic goals, though financial impact is not yet evident.
Guidance track record
Last 8 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-30 | $0.33 – $0.35 | $0.45 | beat |
| 2024-03-31 | $0.33 – $0.35 | $0.44 | beat |
| 2024-06-30 | $0.34 – $0.36 | $0.43 | beat |
| 2024-09-30 | $0.38 – $0.40 | $0.46 | beat |
| 2025-03-31 | $0.41 – $0.43 | $0.46 | beat |
| 2025-06-30 | $0.40 – $0.42 | $0.46 | beat |
| 2025-09-30 | $0.44 – $0.46 | $0.10 | miss |
| 2026-03-31 | $0.49 – $0.51 | $0.00 | miss |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 92%; 252d 60%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −49%. Bad day move −4%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLK) — 0.11 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 0/100, drawdown 3/100, beta 11/100, earnings vol —.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- score change · guidance_credibility_scoreseverity 63
Guidance credibility fell by 25.0 points (from 100.0 to 75.0).
- earnings refresh · management_scoreseverity 34
Management fell by 13.5 points (from 61.4 to 47.9) after fresh earnings.
- earnings refresh · signal_labelseverity 30
Signal changed from 'mild_favorable' to 'mixed' after fresh earnings.
- label change · valuation_labelseverity 20
Valuation label changed from 'fair' to 'full'.
As of May 8, 2026, the guidance credibility score for DDOG fell by 25.0 points, from 100.0 to 75.0. Management score decreased by 13.5 points, from 61.4 to 47.9, following fresh earnings. The signal label changed from "mild_favorable" to "mixed" after the earnings refresh. Additionally, the valuation label changed from "fair" to "full."
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 75% of the last 8 guided quarters · -6.7% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase revenue to $4.30-$4.34 billion
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Aim to achieve revenue between $4.30 billion and $4.34 billion for fiscal year 2026.
Behind →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue was $953 million in 2025-Q4. Revenue guidance increased from $4.06-$4.10 billion to $4.30-$4.34 billion for 2026, indicating a focus on growth. The trajectory shows an upward revision in revenue targets, suggesting progress towards achieving higher revenue.
65%CEO/CFO:“Full Year 2026 Outlook: Revenue between $4.30 billion and $4.34 billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-07Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“Full Year 2026 Outlook: Revenue between $4.30 billion and $4.34 billion.”
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook: Revenue between $4.06 billion and $4.10 billion.”
- #2
Achieve non-GAAP EPS of $2.36-$2.44
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Target non-GAAP net income per share between $2.36 and $2.44 for fiscal year 2026.
Behind →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Non-GAAP EPS guidance increased from $2.08-$2.16 to $2.36-$2.44 for 2026, reflecting an upward revision in earnings expectations. This suggests a positive trajectory towards achieving higher profitability.
65%CEO/CFO:“Non-GAAP net income per share between $2.36 and $2.44.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-07Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“Non-GAAP net income per share between $2.36 and $2.44.”
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook: Non-GAAP net income per share between $2.08 and $2.16.”
- #3
Redomicile to Nevada
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Complete the redomiciliation of the company from Delaware to Nevada.
Behind →MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q2. The redomiciliation to Nevada was approved by stockholders, indicating progress in capital allocation strategy. This move is expected to align with strategic goals, though financial impact is not yet evident.
35%CEO/CFO:“Stockholders approved a proposal to redomicile the Company to Nevada.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-22Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“Stockholders approved a proposal to redomicile the Company to Nevada.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
38 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
DDOG Datadog | +7.3 | full | high |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +20 | full | moderate |
AAPL Apple Inc | +19 | full | moderate |
MSFT Microsoft | +27 | fair | elevated |
AVGO Broadcom | +11 | expensive | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-07)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-07)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-071d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Datadog, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as ame…
earnings preannouncement—score 64 - 2026-04-2216d agoItem 3.03
Material Modification to Rights of Shareholders. On April 21, 2026, at a special meeting of stockholders (the “Special Meeting”) of Datadog, Inc. (the “Company”), the stockholders of the Company approved a proposal to redomicile the Company (the “Redomiciliation”) from a corporation organized under the laws of the State of Delaware (the “Delaware Corporation”) to a corporation organized under the laws of the State of Nevada (the “Nevada Corporation”) by means of a plan of conversion (the “Pla…
capital allocationneutralscore 32 - 2026-03-022mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On February 26, 2026 the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Datadog, Inc. (the “Company”) increased the size of the Board from ten to eleven members and appointed Dominic Phillips as a Class II director of the Company to fill the resulting vacancy. Mr. Phillips's term will expire at the Company’s Annual Meeting of Stockholders to be held in 2027.…
executive changeneutralscore 12 - 2026-02-102mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 10, 2026 Datadog, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Ac…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 9 - 2025-09-117mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On September 11, 2025, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Datadog, Inc. (the “Company”) increased the size of the Board from nine to ten members and appointed Ami Vora as a Class I director of the Company to fill the resulting vacancy, each effective September 11, 2025. Ms. Vora's term will expire at the Company’s Annual Meeting of Stockholder…
executive changeneutralscore 0
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.