DELL
Dell TechnologiesNYSEInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, DELL has a composite score of 17.1 and a signal label of "mild favorable." The valuation label changed from "full" to "fair," indicating a shift in perceived value. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as rates, growth, inflation, and labor. The analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.30
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Why this rank
Joint read: strong + robust historically delivered 80%+ NI-grew rate over T+1y in IT 2024–26 (small N).
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $2.96 → $2.94 (-0.9% / 30d). 3 raised, 2 cut, 20 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 4 maintained. 70% of analysts rate Buy.
2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 20.7% above current price.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
13 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Achieve significant revenue growthgrowthmixed65% progress
2/26: “FY27 guidance: Full-year revenue growth of 23% at the midpoint.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue grew from $23.9B in 2025-Q4 to $33.4B in 2026-Q4, indicating strong growth. The trajectory aligns with the guidance for a 23% increase in FY27, showing delivery on this priority.
- 2.Increase non-GAAP EPSgrowthon track97% progress
2/26: “Full-year FY27 non-GAAP diluted EPS to be $12.90 at the midpoint, up 25%.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS increased from $1.58 in 2025-Q3 to $2.28 in 2026-Q3, reflecting a positive trajectory. The guidance for a 25% increase in FY27 non-GAAP EPS supports this priority, indicating progress.
- 3.Boost first-quarter revenuegrowthon track97% progress
2/26: “First-quarter FY27 revenue expected between $34.7 billion and $35.7 billion, up 51% year over year.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q4. Revenue is expected to grow to $35.2B in 2026-Q1, up 51% year over year, indicating a strong focus on boosting first-quarter revenue. This aligns with the guidance, showing a positive trajectory.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 66%; 252d 52%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −32%. Bad day move −5%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLK) — 0.11 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 14/100, drawdown 35/100, beta 11/100, earnings vol —.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- label change · valuation_labelseverity 20
Valuation label changed from 'full' to 'fair'.
As of May 8, 2026, the valuation label for DELL changed from "full" to "fair." This reflects a label change with a severity score of 20.0. Additionally, the forward view indicates an unfavorable direction for the composite delta estimate of -8.0 due to a potential guidance cut, and a favorable scenario with a composite delta estimate of 5.0 if the information technology sector trend improves. The overall risk label remains elevated, and the situation is provisional.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 50% of the last 2 guided quarters · -21.4% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Achieve significant revenue growth
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Focus on driving substantial revenue increases across the fiscal year.
On track →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue grew from $23.9B in 2025-Q4 to $33.4B in 2026-Q4, indicating strong growth. The trajectory aligns with the guidance for a 23% increase in FY27, showing delivery on this priority.
65%CEO/CFO:“FY27 guidance: Full-year revenue growth of 23% at the midpoint.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-26Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q4Multiple sources
“FY27 guidance: Full-year revenue growth of 23% at the midpoint.”
- 2026-Q3Multiple sources
“Fourth-quarter FY26 revenue expected between $31.0 billion and $32.0 billion, up 32% year over year.”
- #2
Increase non-GAAP EPS
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Aim to significantly boost non-GAAP EPS through operational efficiencies and growth.
On trackStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS increased from $1.58 in 2025-Q3 to $2.28 in 2026-Q3, reflecting a positive trajectory. The guidance for a 25% increase in FY27 non-GAAP EPS supports this priority, indicating progress.
97%CEO/CFO:“Full-year FY27 non-GAAP diluted EPS to be $12.90 at the midpoint, up 25%.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-26Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q4Multiple sources
“Full-year FY27 non-GAAP diluted EPS to be $12.90 at the midpoint, up 25%.”
- 2026-Q3Multiple sources
“Full-year FY26 non-GAAP diluted EPS to be $9.92 at the midpoint, up 22%.”
- #3
Boost first-quarter revenue
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Target a significant increase in revenue for the first quarter of FY27.
On trackNewly stated in 2026-Q4. Revenue is expected to grow to $35.2B in 2026-Q1, up 51% year over year, indicating a strong focus on boosting first-quarter revenue. This aligns with the guidance, showing a positive trajectory.
Revenue expected to grow to $35.2B in 2026-Q197%CEO/CFO:“First-quarter FY27 revenue expected between $34.7 billion and $35.7 billion, up 51% year over year.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-26Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q4Multiple sources
“First-quarter FY27 revenue expected between $34.7 billion and $35.7 billion, up 51% year over year.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
DELL Dell Technologies | +17 | fair | elevated |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +20 | full | moderate |
AAPL Apple Inc | +19 | full | moderate |
MSFT Microsoft | +27 | fair | elevated |
AVGO Broadcom | +11 | expensive | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-02-26)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-02-26)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2018d agoItem 3.02
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. On March 2, 2026, March 4, 2026, March 17, 2026, March 18, 2026, March 20, 2026, March 23, 2026, April 15, 2026 and April 16, 2026, Dell Technologies Inc. (the “Company”) issued an aggregate of 4,237,699 shares of the Company’s Class C common stock (the “Class C Common Stock”) upon conversion of the same number of shares of the Company’s Class B common stock (the “Class B Common Stock”) held by SL SPV-2, L.P., Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P., Silver Lake…
capital allocationnegativescore 34 - 2026-02-262mo agoItem 2.02
and in Exhibit 99.1 to this current report is being “furnished” with the Securities and Exchange Commission and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities under such section. Further, such information shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, unless specifically identifi…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 14 - 2025-11-255mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (c) On September 8, 2025, Dell Technologies Inc. (the “Company”) filed a Current Report on Form 8-K that reported that David Kennedy, who previously served as the Company’s Senior Vice President, Global Business Operations, Finance, was appointed as the Company’s interim Chief Financial Officer, effective as of September 9, 2025. On October 2, 2025…
executive changeneutralscore 2 - 2025-10-176mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (c) On August 12, 2025, Dell Technologies Inc. (the “Company”) filed a Current Report on Form 8-K that reported that Richard Troy Sharp, who previously served as the Company’s Vice President, Corporate Accounting and Reporting, was appointed as the Company’s Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance and Chief Accounting Officer, effective as of Augu…
executive changeneutralscore 1 - 2025-10-027mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (c) On September 8, 2025, Dell Technologies Inc. (the “Company”) filed a Current Report on Form 8-K that reported that David Kennedy, who previously served as the Company’s Senior Vice President, Global Business Operations, Finance, was appointed as the Company’s interim Chief Financial Officer, effective as of September 9, 2025. On September 30, 2…
executive changeneutralscore 1
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.