DIS
Walt Disney Company (The)NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, DIS has a composite score of 24.3, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 75.0 and reflects a moderate risk label. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as rates, labor, growth, and inflation, with sector trends and guidance changes also impacting the score. The analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.01
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.88 → $1.86 (-1.0% / 30d). 2 raised, 4 cut, 19 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 4 maintained. 87% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 30.8% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
5 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Double-digit EPS growth in fiscal 2026growthmixed65% progress
5/6: “We expect fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS growth of approximately 16%, including the impact of the 53rd week.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management expects fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS growth of approximately 16%, including the impact of the 53rd week. With net income rising from $1.31B in 2025-Q4 to $2.40B in 2026-Q1, the trajectory is delivering on this priority.
- 2.Repurchase $7 billion of stock in fiscal 2026capital allocationmixed55% progressprovisional
2/2: “On track to repurchase $7 billion of stock.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Management is on track to repurchase $7 billion of stock by fiscal year-end 2026. However, no specific buyback figures are reported in the financials, indicating limited substantive delivery so far.
- 3.Increase SVOD operating income by $200M in Q2 2026growthmixed65% progressprovisional
2/2: “SVOD operating income of approximately $500 million, an increase of approximately $200 million compared to Q2 fiscal 2025.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Management targets SVOD operating income of approximately $500 million in Q2 2026, an increase of $200 million from Q2 2025. With no specific SVOD figures in the financials, the trajectory remains to be seen.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 29%; 252d 24%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −25%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLC) — 0.94 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 59/100, drawdown 50/100, beta 94/100, earnings vol —.
via XLC
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 0% of the last 2 guided quarters · -45.2% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Double-digit EPS growth in fiscal 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-06Management aims for double-digit adjusted EPS growth in fiscal 2026.
MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management expects fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS growth of approximately 16%, including the impact of the 53rd week. With net income rising from $1.31B in 2025-Q4 to $2.40B in 2026-Q1, the trajectory is delivering on this priority.
65%CEO/CFO:“We expect fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS growth of approximately 16%, including the impact of the 53rd week.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-06Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-06Show history (3)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“We expect fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS growth of approximately 16%, including the impact of the 53rd week.”
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Double digit adjusted EPS (5) growth compared to fiscal 2025.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Double digit adjusted EPS growth compared to fiscal 2025.”
- #2
Repurchase $7 billion of stock in fiscal 2026
Capital allocationManagement plans to repurchase $7 billion of stock by the end of fiscal 2026.
MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Management is on track to repurchase $7 billion of stock by fiscal year-end 2026. However, no specific buyback figures are reported in the financials, indicating limited substantive delivery so far.
55%CEO/CFO:“On track to repurchase $7 billion of stock.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-02Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-02provisionalShow history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“On track to repurchase $7 billion of stock.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“On track to repurchase $7 billion of stock.”
- #3
Increase SVOD operating income by $200M in Q2 2026
GrowthManagement aims to increase SVOD operating income by $200 million in Q2 fiscal 2026 compared to Q2 fiscal 2025.
MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q1. Management targets SVOD operating income of approximately $500 million in Q2 2026, an increase of $200 million from Q2 2025. With no specific SVOD figures in the financials, the trajectory remains to be seen.
65%CEO/CFO:“SVOD operating income of approximately $500 million, an increase of approximately $200 million compared to Q2 fiscal 2025.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-02Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-02provisionalShow history (1)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“SVOD operating income of approximately $500 million, an increase of approximately $200 million compared to Q2 fiscal 2025.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
DIS Walt Disney Company (The) | +24 | inexpensive | moderate |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A) | +31 | fair | moderate |
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C) | +32 | fair | moderate |
META Meta Platforms | +30 | inexpensive | elevated |
NFLX Netflix | +23 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If communication_services sector trend rises from +0.06 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-06)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-06)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-5.8 pts
- If communication_services sector trend falls from +0.06 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-062d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026, the Registrant issued an earnings release relating to its results for the quarter ended March 28, 2026. A copy of the earnings release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1. Use of Website to Distribute Material Company Information The Registrant’s Investor Relations website is www.disney.com/investors. We use our Investor Relations website as a means of disclosing material non-public information and for the purpose of complying w…
earnings preannouncement—score 62 - 2026-03-201mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (d) On March 18, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of The Walt Disney Company (the “Company”) appointed Josh D’Amaro to serve (i) as a Director on the Board, effective immediately, with a term expiring at the 2027 annual meeting of shareholders, and (ii) on the Executive Committee of the Board. Mr. D’Amaro is Chief Executive Officer of the…
executive changeneutralscore 18 - 2026-03-032mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On February 27, 2026, The Walt Disney Company (the “Company”) entered into (i) a 364-Day Credit Agreement, among the Company, as borrower, TWDC Enterprises 18 Corp. (“TWDC Enterprises”), as guarantor, the lenders party thereto, and Citibank, N.A., as designated agent, which provides for advances to be made available to the Company in an aggregate principal amount of up to $5.25 billion (the “364-Day Credit Agreement”) and replaces the Company’s $5.25 billion 364-Day Credit Agree…
capital allocationneutralscore 11 - 2026-02-242mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On February 20, 2026, The Walt Disney Company (the “Company”) exercised its right to terminate without cause the employment of Kristina K. Schake as Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Communications Officer, effective as of March 19, 2026. In connection with her termination, Ms. Schake will receive the separation benefits payable in accordan…
executive changeneutralscore 10 - 2026-02-033mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment of Chief Executive Officer and Senior Advisor On February 2, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of The Walt Disney Company (the “Company”) appointed Josh D’Amaro, currently the Chairman of Disney Experiences, as the Chief Executive Officer of the Company and appointed Robert A. Iger, currently the Company’s Chief Executive Offic…
executive changeneutralscore 9
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.